Thursday December 11, 2008
Tim Tebow is an outstanding football player. He may or may not win his second Heisman this weekend. He may or may not win a national title in a month.
But this “greatest amateur player in a team sport” nonsense needs to be nipped in the bud. It’s indefensible, and it’s the same kind of in-the-now garbage that we’d expect from a throwaway ESPN segment. Worse, it forces us to take a critical look at one of the best players in the game right now when we should be congratulating him on another stellar season.
Even as a Georgia fan I wouldn’t go so far as to call Herschel Walker the “greatest amateur player in a team sport”, but you might be able to make a better case. Walker’s teams, and make no mistake – they were Walker’s teams, didn’t lose a single conference game or home game in his three years. He didn’t need dramatics or something disturbingly now called “The Promise“. He just ran over people.
And as for this “will to win” stuff, it’s going to be hard to top carrying your team to a national title by going for over 100 yards with a separated shoulder.
Again the worst of this kind of talk is that it’s a distraction from a wonderful season for Tebow and his team. It says a lot that there’s even a case to be made on a topic like this. Is the GPOOE no longer enough? Matt Hayes thinks we’re looking at the GAPIATS-E. And the guy has a freaking Heisman vote.
Sunday December 7, 2008
Welcome to the week that was in Georgia athletics where the number 42 served to tie together three very low points for three Bulldog teams.
42 points in football is usually enough to outscore anyone except Oklahoma, but we know how that turned out last weekend.
On the other hand 42 points in basketball often means a loss, and that was the case for the Lady Dogs on Friday at Georgia Tech. Not only did Tech beat Georgia by double-digits; they also took sardonic pleasure in making Georgia fans look up at the scoreboard and see “42” in the second losing effort to Tech within a week. “Just like football,” indeed.
Andy Landers might consider teams like LSU and Tennessee more worthy peers and rivals, but like it or not he’s got a very serious challenge in his own state. Georgia controls the series with Tech 28-3, but the series is an even 3-3 over the past six years, and Georgia has lost two out of the last three on Tech’s home floor. There was no question who the better team was on Friday night.
Even the men’s basketball team pitched in with their own 42-point nightmare on Saturday. The Dawgs trailed from the start and saw a somewhat close game deteriorate into a 34-point blowout loss at Illinois. The lowlight, pointed out in graphic detail by the Georgia Sports Blog, was a 22-0 Illinois run to close the game. Once Illinois started finding openings and hitting perimeter shots against Georgia’s 1-3-1 defense, the game was over. But the meltdown at the end was one of the things you might have expected from Felton’s first few teams where we patted everyone on the head for the effort and reassured ourselves that such defeats would be soon forgotten once 2003 was comfortably in the past. So much for that.
Maybe Georgia just needs to avoid teams from Illinois.
Friday December 5, 2008
I was listening to Cowherd’s interview with Gary Danielson yesterday, and the
SEC championship was framed as a clash between defense (Alabama) and offense
(Florida). This isn’t to pick on what was a good interview or disagree with
that storyline because – let’s be honest – most people are looking
at it that way because those have been two very dominant units.
But framing the game that way tends to underrate the other elements of the
game – namely Alabama’s offense and Florida’s defense and special teams. First
let’s look at the Alabama offense. It has most of the pieces you’d expect from
a quality offense. The line is veteran and talented. Knowshon Moreno might be
the best back in the SEC, but no school has a running back tandem as good as
Coffee and Ingram, and Upchurch isn’t bad. Receivers are adequate until you
come to difference-maker Julio Jones. It’s a long time ago, but the way this
offense came out, mixed it up, and took it right at teams like Clemson and Georgia
earlier in the season opened a lot of eyes.
As the
Senator notes, it all comes down to quarterback play for the Tide. He’s
been shaky a few times this season but nothing like the roller coaster ride
that was 2007. If he has time, he should be fine, and Alabama’s experienced
OL should help them here against a talented but young Florida defensive front.
Then there’s the Florida defense. It was assumed during the offseason that
the Florida defense had to be better because – hey- it couldn’t get much worse.
I don’t think many people expected this kind of improvement though.
How good is the Florida defense? You know that great Alabama defense everyone
sees as a strength in this game? They check
in at #3 in total defense (248.5 YPG) and #3 in scoring defense (11.5 PPG).
Pretty damn good, right? Florida is #7 (275.67 YPG) and #4 (12.3 PPG) in the
same categories. Less than 30 YPG and 1 PPG separates these two defenses.
Florida also has the edge in turnovers. They lead the nation in turnover margin
thanks in large part to being third in the nation with 32 takeaways. Florida
has 23 interceptions this year, and that’s just one less than Alabama’s total
number of takeaways.
Any distinction between the two defenses becomes even more hazy when you look
at common opponents.
Common Opponent – Georgia: Florida W 49-10, Alabama W 41-30.
Both teams had one explosive half against the Dawgs, but Florida’s defense held
Georgia off the scoreboard better than Alabama’s. You can argue whether or not
Alabama let up, and Florida did give up close to 400 yards to the Georgia offense.
Common Opponent – Kentucky: Florida W 63-5, Alabama W 17-14.
Not even close. Kentucky had the Tide nervous, and Florida reduced the Cats
to rubble.
Common Opponent – LSU: Florida W 51-21, Alabama W 27-21. Both
teams feasted on LSU turnovers, but the difference was in the ground game. LSU
rushed for 201 yards against Alabama but only 80 against Florida. Did the nature
of the game matter? The LSU-Alabama game was a close one where LSU could stick
with the run. At Florida, the Tigers were down 20-0 and in comeback mode not
long into the second quarter.
Common Opponent – Ole Miss: Florida L 30-31, Alabama W 24-20.
Both teams played Ole Miss close, and Florida actually held Ole Miss to fewer
yards than Alabama did. The difference might have been turnovers. Florida forced
only one Rebel miscue, and Alabama came away with three. Florida in 2008 mostly
avoided the big play bug that hurt them so much in 2007, but an 86-yard TD pass
in this one made them pay. Again, Alabama let up in this game and saw a 24-0
lead evaporate.
Common Opponent – Tennessee: Florida W 30-6, Alabama W 29-9.
Both teams held Tennessee to a few field goals, but Florida held the Vols to
nearly 100 fewer yards.
Common Opponent – Arkansas: Florida W 38-7, Alabama W 49-14.
Alabama was definitely the more dominant team against the Hogs. Florida was
in a 17-7 game in the second half while the Tide used offense and defense to
put their game away by halftime in a foreshadowing of what was to come in Athens.
After looking at that, is the Alabama defense really that much of
a relative advantage in this game? Special teams will also matter. Both teams
have exciting return men, but Florida’s punt block unit has been one of the
big behind-the-scenes development of the season. They plowed through Kentucky
and Vanderbilt punt protection with speed and skill that would make Poland nervous.
Florida right now is the opposite of what we’ve seen this year from Georgia.
Instead of offense and special teams making it tough at times for an already-shaky
defense, Florida defense and special teams are making things easier for an already-potent
offense.
Alabama has the pieces to win this game, but I have to go with a Florida team
that has been consistently excellent over the past two months on offense and
defense. The Alabama and Florida defenses are statistically very close over
the course of the season, but the gap between the offenses is nowhere near as
tight. Florida wins, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the underrated Florida
defense make its mark on the game in a very big way.
Monday December 1, 2008
- Waiting for us in the mailbox Saturday evening was the Hartman Fund renewal
envelope. Talk about perfect timing. Somehow I don’t see 10,000+ points as
the cutoff for new season tickets next year.
- Aside from Massaquoi’s afternoon, the one good memory I’ll take away from
the game was the block that Chapas threw to spring Moreno around the end for
his touchdown run. It was Tony-Milton-2002-Kentucky good.
- Speaking of Chapas, his contribution this year was a bright spot. He answered
the call and really set himself up as the next Georgia fullback. But what
ever happened to Southerland? Was his conditioning just shot after the injury
kept him off his feet for so long? Southerland played and contributed where
he could – even at tight end in certain packages – but surely this isn’t the
way most of us thought and hoped it would end for him.
- Either Lane Kiffin stole HeismanPundit’s girlfriend once, or Tennessee will
be looking for another new coach in a few years. HP first warned athletic
directors back in September
and has continued to
beat the drum
since. No punches pulled there.
- Clemson’s new coach also fails to impress. It comes off like a cross between
Bill Stewart and Ray Goff. He’s regarded as a recruiter, young, liked by his
players, and has embraced his school’s traditions, but the win over South
Carolina sure seems a lot like Stewart’s win over Oklahoma last year. I look
at it this way – if Swinney were in the same assistant position at, say, his
alma mater Alabama, would he even register on a Clemson coaching search?
- If Georgia has a kindred spirit this year, it’s Missouri. The Tigers started
the season around the top 5, didn’t have to play Texas Tech or Oklahoma in
the regular season, and still finished 9-3 giving up 40 points to a 7-5 team
in their last game and loss. Yet they’re playing for a conference title this
weekend.
Monday December 1, 2008
You’ve really got to hate it for Texas safety Blake Gideon. A single dropped interception a few weeks ago is all that stands between Texas and the #1 spot in the polls, a spot in the Big 12 title game, and the inside track to the national title game. Instead, Texas is now on the outside looking in for not only the national title game but even the championship of half of a conference.
The bits and bytes will be burning up this week debating the subject, so here are a few more points to ponder.
First, understand that this is a Big 12 problem, not a BCS problem. The Big 12 chose to make the BCS part of its tiebreaker process. Blaming an undesirable outcome on the BCS in this situation makes as much sense as pointing out the flaws in rock-paper-scissors if the conference had chosen that method to break its ties. The conference will surely revisit its tiebreaker scenarios after this year, and it’s on them for not taking care of it earlier.
Second, the BCS got it right. As much as Texas wants to boil this down to a 45-35 45-35 45-35 45-35 45-35 argument, it’s not that simple. To begin with, it conveniently skips over the loss to Texas Tech and the fact that the #1 team in the nation couldn’t hold a lead with a minute to go. That’s not a fatal flaw for Texas by any stretch – all three Big 12 co-champs have their warts. But it is enough to step back and remember that the BCS evaluates not only individual results but also the entire season.
That’s where Oklahoma shines, and I’m glad to see that in this case schedule was rewarded. Oklahoma has wins over BCS-bound Cincinnati and #11 TCU. Texas’ best nonconference opponent was Arkansas – a middling SEC school. Texas Tech played no one from another BCS conference. Texas did have their tough gauntlet that culminated in the loss at Texas Tech, but among a group of three teams that played the conference season to a deadlock Oklahoma’s out of conference slate has to tilt things in their favor.
Tuesday November 25, 2008
Much, if not all, of the talk leading up to this weekend’s game will center
around Georgia’s challenge in stopping Georgia Tech’s option offense. There’s
plenty of reason for that: it’s a look we’re not used to, it’s effective, and
it did a lot of damage in the game most of us used to scout the upcoming opponent.
Defending the option will require exceptional preparation and execution. But
don’t take for granted the size of the job on the other side of the ball. Keep
this fact in mind:
Tech hasn’t scored more than 17 points on Georgia since 2000.
That might or might not change this year. Tech’s offense is different and improved
this year, and past performance does not guarantee future results, etc., etc.,
etc. We’ve seen what the Tech offense can do against teams like Miami and Mississippi
State, but they’ve also scored 21 or fewer points in over half of their games
to this point thanks largely to turnovers.
Yet from 2004-2006, the games were way too close for comfort. In 2004, David
Greene had to come off the bench and play injured just to get a field goal.
Georgia scored 30+ in four of its last five games in 2005 but could only manage
14 against Tech. In 2006, Georgia couldn’t even break double-digits without
help from the defense. In games where the Georgia offense has performed well,
the result has been wins by double-digits.
Georgia in 2008, statistically speaking, has one of their best offenses in
recent history. The quarterback, running back, and receivers are among the SEC
leaders, and it’s all being done behind a young and depleted line. But those
of us who have seen the offense in operation should know that statistics over
the course of a season have a way of smoothing over what’s actually happened.
Yes, this is the same Georgia offense that had its way with Arizona State, LSU,
and Kentucky. It’s also the same offense that struggled for 14 points at South
Carolina, skipped the first half against Alabama, shot itself in the foot against
Florida, and couldn’t put Auburn away. If the Georgia offense had been performing
consistently at a high level on the way to those nice averages, I wouldn’t be
as concerned. But they haven’t.
Georgia Tech is currently
#12 in scoring defense at 16.7 PPG – that’s the best unit on either team
in this game in terms of scoring offense or defense. #12 puts them more or less
between Auburn and Tennessee in that stat. They are strongest up front with
Darryl Richard and Michael Johnson leading the way, but they have also been
opportunistic with 17 interceptions (10th best in the nation).
The performance of Georgia’s offense will have a bigger impact on the game
than just putting points on the board. With everyone fretting about stopping
the option, what better way to affect an offense’s gameplan than to put it in
a come-from-behind situation? Even in its losses Tech has done a good job this
year of keeping the games close and within reach, and they’ve been able to stick
to the offense. It wasn’t until North Carolina built a lead on them that Tech
QB Josh Nesbitt attempted a season-high 22 passes.
It’s the last home game for Massaquoi, and it could be the swan song at Sanford
for Stafford and Moreno as well. That trio, along with the rest of the offense,
just might be Georgia’s best weapon to slow down Tech’s option attack. I go
back to what
I wrote back over the summer: if Tech is going to end the streak any time
soon, (defensive coordinator) Dave Wommack will have as much or more to do with
it than Paul Johnson. If Georgia’s stars on offense go out with a signature
performance, it won’t matter what kind of offense Tech is running.
Monday November 24, 2008
Back in July when the SEC media made its preseason predictions, a single vote stood out among the dozens cast.
David Paschall pretty much captured my reaction when
he wrote that, "The Ole Miss Rebels somehow received a first-place
vote after going 0-8 in the league last year." That’s right: Alabama, zero
votes. Ole Miss, one vote. The SEC media split its SEC West first-place votes
among Auburn, LSU, and….Ole Miss.
The Rebels are in no danger of winning the SEC West, but in hindsight that
lone voter – through luck or skill – had a lot more insight than the rest who
put LSU or Auburn at the top. With Saturday’s win at LSU, Ole Miss moved into
second place in the SEC West behind undefeated Alabama. The Rebels are 4-3 in
the conference and 7-4 overall. This week’s Egg Bowl played at home against
Mississippi State stands between the Rebels and a very solid 5-3 SEC record
made all the more remarkable when you consider that Ole Miss won a total
of 3 SEC games during the three years with Ed Orgeron at the helm.
With that record, it would be tough to keep Ole Miss out of a pretty nice bowl
game. Only Alabama, Florida, and Georgia would have better SEC records. If Houston
Nutt, with a new program and a new quarterback, could turn Ole Miss from a team
that went winless in the SEC a year ago to a team headed for a New Year’s bowl,
I don’t see how anyone else could be considered the SEC’s Coach of the Year.
Of course it all comes down to this weekend. Not only would a loss to Mississippi
State drop the Rebels into a 4-4 mess, a loss in their biggest rivalry game
would also take a lot of the shine off of a nice season. The memory of last
year’s epic collapse in Starkville still has to hurt, and a win this year to
top off a winning season would go a long way towards erasing the bad memories
left from the end of the Orgeron era.
Monday November 24, 2008
Where is Penn State among the discussion of 1-loss teams? Their dismantling
of Oregon State looks better every week, and their only loss was a 1-point road
upset against an 8-4 Iowa team. Not saying they necessarily stand out over Texas,
Florida, or any of the others, but it’s amazing how quickly they were written
out of the conversation after the Iowa game.
Jarrett Lee’s taking a lot of heat for LSU’s woes this season, and he has made
his share of mistakes, but issues at quarterback were more or less a given entering
the season. Most expected LSU to follow a tried-and-true SEC formula: play well
enough on defense to get by with average offense. The story of LSU’s season
hasn’t been Lee’s struggles at quarterback; it’s been the slippage on defense.
LSU has given up 31+ in five of their last seven games. Houston Nutt has won
at Death Valley in consecutive seasons with two different teams and seems to
have his quarterback for the next several seasons. The Alabama-Auburn-LSU power
structure in the SEC West has been shaken up this season, and if the Rebels
can win the Egg Bowl this year, an 8-4 Ole Miss team might be headed to the
Cotton Bowl.
How might a guy named Sammie Stroughter impact Georgia’s postseason? Pac-10
leader Oregon State had to come from behind to win at Arizona, and Stroughter
was Mr. Clutch for the Beavers down the stretch. He tallied 3 catches for 88
yards on OSU’s final two drives, caught the touchdown pass that pulled the Beavers
to within 1, and then set up the game-winning field goal with a 49-yard reception
with under 40 seconds remaining. With the win, Oregon State remains in position
to win the Pac-10 if they can beat Oregon this weekend. If OSU does win out
and earn a Rose Bowl trip, it will likely keep Ohio State out of the BCS and
put them in a position for a possible game against Georgia in the Capital One
Bowl. If OSU loses to their rival, Southern Cal heads to the Rose Bowl, Ohio
State gets an at-large BCS bid, and it would be Michigan State heading to Orlando.
Is it possible for a team like Vanderbilt to have a letdown game? Twice this
year after milestone wins (the Auburn victory in front of a national Gameday
audience and the Kentucky victory which made them bowl-eligible), the Commodores
have come up with an ugly loss. Mississippi State and Tennessee have a combined
4 SEC wins, and Vanderbilt accounts for half of them. It’s great and all that
Vandy is headed to a bowl game, but they are still very much Vanderbilt.
David Cutcliffe’s Duke team was the talk of the college football scene after
a 31-3 win over Virginia gave the Blue Devils a 3-1 start. Entering the final
week of the season, Duke is now 1-6 in the ACC and will be favored to lose to
rival North Carolina this weekend. Duke has won just one game since that blowout
of Virginia back in September…naturally, that win came against Vanderbilt.
Four wins would still be as many victories as Duke had from 2004-2007, but that
quick start might have inflated expectations for this season. Cutcliffe is still
a heck of a coach and will continue a tough turnaround job.
When sorting out the Big 12 South mess, how important is the strength of schedule
factor? Texas’s win over Oklahoma on a neutral field surely counts for a lot,
but we can’t forget that Texas (and Muschamp’s defense) had the game in Lubbock
for the taking and didn’t get it done. Looking outside their respective Big
12 schedules, Oklahoma should get credit for a slate that includes wins over
respectable TCU and Cincinnati teams. Meanwhile, Texas’s best nonconference
opponent was SEC bottom-dweller Arkansas, and Texas Tech hasn’t played a BCS
conference team outside of the Big 12.
Friday November 21, 2008
You know what’s coming over the next eight days. The Tech people you know will be insufferable. The Atlanta media will bait and bait – the Schultz and Bradley columns almost write themselves, don’t they? Even Wes Durham couldn’t wait to start running his mouth. Just smile…it’ll be a small price to pay when we’re enjoying #8.
Friday November 14, 2008
Maybe it’s the play of the defense and special teams lately. Maybe it’s the
nature of the rivalry. For whatever reason, Georgia fans seem really gun-shy
about this weekend’s game. The Dawgs are nearly a ten-point favorite, but good
luck finding someone willing to take Georgia and give the points.
No one really knows what to expect. It’s true that Georgia’s
offense seems to be the biggest advantage that sticks out, and the Dawgs
have put up some points on Auburn for, well, for the last three seasons. If
there’s something we can put our finger on, it’s concern over the defense. Georgia
should be able to keep the sputtering Tiger offense in check. The only
two times Auburn has scored over 20 in SEC play this season they’ve needed a
score from the defense or special teams to get there.
Corvey Irvin in particular has been saying all the right things this week about
the play of the defense, but it’s Missouri time now. Show me. Nothing Auburn
will do is going to be a surprise. Mario Fannin will likely
get the start, but we’ll see plenty of Lester and Tate too. Kodi Burns is
primarily a running threat, but when he throws it’ll probably be in the direction
of Smith or Trott. Auburn’s not a hard scout – it’s all up to execution.
LSU’s Charles Scott had success running against Georgia, and Fannin is the
same type of back – 5’11", 220+. Irvin and the others can rant and hold
meetings, but their success will come down to their ability to do the basics.
Get penetration, contain Burns, play assignments, play with intensity and aggression,
and watch how much better the defense looks.
I admit I don’t have a good read on the game either, so I’ll just look at what
worked in 2006 and 2007.
The story of 2006 was possession. I had forgotten how lopsided it was. You
had Battle’s three interceptions of course, but the memorable thing about Brandon
Cox’s line that day was that he threw as many interceptions as completions and
incompletions (4 of each). Clock rules or no, Auburn ran an astonishing 37 plays
on offense. 12 passes, 25 runs. Georgia ran nearly twice as many plays – 46
runs and 20 passes. Georgia held the ball for over 38 minutes.
The day was also a bit of redemption for Matthew Stafford. He not only took
a beating at Kentucky the week earlier, but fans were beginning to question
just what we had after another game full of turnovers and a second half meltdown.
Stafford hit deep passes to A.J. Bryant (yes, actually A.J. Bryant in case Dave
Neal is reading) and Kenneth Harris to set the tone, and Stafford’s lone miscue
of the day was a fumble after a decent run. Even with the fumble, Stafford showed
off his ability to run the ball and finished the day with 83 yards and a rushing
touchdown that put the game away early in the fourth quarter.
The 2007 game followed several of the same themes. Kelin Johnson took over
for Tra Battle and picked off Brandon Cox’s first pass, and Georgia was off
and running. Stafford again found success on the deep pass with a long touchdown
strike to Massaquoi. The Bulldog defense again picked off four of Cox’s passes.
Unlike the 2006 game, Auburn responded and even took the lead in the third
quarter. Georgia answered with another long pass from Stafford to Bailey, and
then Knowshon and Thomas Brown took over.
Those two Auburn wins showcased every tedious key to victory you’ve ever heard:
- Get out early
- Capitalize on turnovers
- Win the turnover battle
- Have a 100+ yard rusher
- Keep the other guy from running (Auburn didn’t have a player go over 60
yards in either game)
- Hit some deep passes to keep the defense honest
If Georgia can find a way to do all of that again, the result will be just
as enjoyable.
Friday November 14, 2008
Paul did a good job with a look at the special teams earlier in the week. He correctly observes that…
At this point, it’s not where the kick lands that’s driving me nuts. It’s the actual coverage. Georgia’s kickoff coverage unit looks nothing like you see in Florida, LSU or Bama.
Forget Florida, LSU, or Bama. Let’s look at Kentucky. I noticed this during the game and had to go back to the tape to make sure. These are two kickoffs from Saturday’s game; one a Georgia return and one a Kentucky return. See if you notice the difference.
Both kicks were reasonably deep; Kentucky’s landed about five yards closer to the goal line. On Kentucky’s return, the returner is already approaching the 20 yard line as Georgia’s coverage is getting to the 30. If the returner doesn’t run into his blocker, he gets to the 30 before he is even touched.
Then look at Georgia’s return. Samuel is barely at the 7 yard line when the Kentucky coverage is approaching the 20. First contact is around the 18, and Samuel to his credit works for about 5 more yards.
If you think this might just be a one-time deal, let’s look at the opening kickoff of the second half. Once again, Georgia’s first coverage guys don’t even make it to the 25. The returner has at least 5 more yards before he’s challenged, and he actually ends up around the 34.
Thursday November 13, 2008
Your defending SEC Tournament champions open the 2008-2009 season this Friday
night. Sounds good to say, doesn’t it?
But like the tornado which triggered the unforgettable championship weekend
back in March, the whirlwind finish of last season is a distant memory. It’s
back to work for Dennis Felton’s squad, and they’ll try to make progress against
an incrementally tougher schedule and looking to replace their starting backcourt
and two leading scorers from a year ago.
Departures
It was a treat getting to watch Sundiata Gaines for four years, and he’ll be
missed. He did many things well, but of course the most important was his ability
to create offense when the halfcourt set broke down. That was usually a blessing,
but it was also sometimes a curse as the offense stagnated and waited for Gaines
to take on four defenders by himself. Center Dave Bliss was the other senior,
and, to borrow a phrase from Dennis Felton, it was gratifying to see
a healthy Bliss emerge as a quality player and leader towards the end of the
season. The bad news is that his eligibility ended just as he came into form.
Two players are no longer with the program for other reasons. Guard Billy Humphrey
was
dismissed in June, and forward Jeremy Jacob left
the program over dissatisfaction with his role.
The departures leave the Bulldogs without their leading scorers from a year
ago (Gaines and Humphrey). They also leave the Dawgs very thin and young in
the backcourt without much proven scoring ability.
Arrivals
As the Dennis Felton era continues, you hope each subsequent recruiting class
is better than the last, and that seems to be the case this year. Georgia has
added quality freshmen up front, on the wing, and in the backcourt.
The highlight of the incoming class is dynamic forward Howard Thompkins. He’ll
be counted on to contribute immediately at a spot that’s already a strength
of the Georgia team. Thompkins brings a developed offensive game to Athens with
the ability to shoot the jumper or get position and score in the post.
Drazen Zlovaric will be an interesting addition on the wing. The Serbian native
will bring a little European style to the team and can play away from the basket.
His size and athleticism will be a unique matchup for opponents.
Dustin Ware is the heir apparent at the point guard position. Travis Leslie,
at 6’4", is a little small to play the 3, but his athleticism is his calling
card. Leslie probably won’t be the answer when it comes to outside shooting,
but he is a leaper that can attack the rim and throw down some impressive dunks.
Guard Ebuka Anyaorah was expected to be a sharpshooter from outside, but he’s
already been scratched for the season with an injury.
Returning Players
The strength of Georgia’s returning players lies up front. Forwards Jeremy
Price (8.1 PPG, 4.4 RPG), Albert Jackson (7.4 PPG and 6.4 RPG over the last
20 games), and Terrance Woodbury (11.0 PPG, 33% 3PT, 4.1 RPG) will be the core
of this season’s team and can match up with most frontcourts in the SEC. Chris
Barnes (2.6 PPG, 2.2 RPG) also returns from an injury-plagued freshman year
to provide depth down low.
The returning players in the backcourt were supporting cast members last year.
Corey Butler (3.0 PPG) made a name for himself with high-energy defense and
some timely shots. Zac Swansey (3.9 PPG) was one of the heros of the SEC Tournament,
and he’ll take on a much greater role this year at point guard. Troy Brewer
(2.7 PPG, 30% 3PT) is another option on the perimeter, but he saw very limited
action as a freshman.
Schedule
The schedule has never really been a point of pride under Felton, but it’s
more ambitious this year. The Dawgs are participating in the Preseason NIT,
and the quality of competition will depend on how far Georgia advances. Purdue,
Oklahoma, Boston College, and Davidson are all potential opponents. There will
be the usual early season cupcakes, but there will also be games with Illinois,
Virginia Tech, Missouri, and Georgia Tech. We should know plenty about this
team before SEC play begins.
Speaking of SEC play, the Dawgs will measure up early on against its SEC East
peers. The first three conference games include Tennessee and Kentucky with
a road game at Vanderbilt squeezed between them. One late road trip could prove
problematic: two of Georgia’s last three conference games are at Arkansas and
Kentucky. If the season comes down to needing some wins late in the year, it’s
usually tough to get them in Fayetteville and Lexington.
The SEC
It projects to be on the whole another weak group of SEC teams, and what strength
the SEC has is heavily tilted towards the East. Tennessee and Florida are the
only SEC teams in the preseason top 25. Kentucky and Vanderbilt also get mention.
LSU and Alabama are unranked but receiving votes, and that’s about as good as
it gets for the West.
What’s noticable this year is a real lack of star power. There are some
great players in the league, but there is no Chris Lofton or Shan Foster.
The top five players in the SEC might be Nick Calathes, Devan Downey, A.J. Ogilvy,
Patrick Patterson, and Tyler Smith – again, all really solid players but none
comes with the superstar package.
Injuries
As we mentioned above, freshman Ebuka Anyaorah is out for the year. Several
other players are dealing with minor, though nagging, injuries entering the
season. Thompkins has battled a stress fracture, a knee sprain, and now a sprained
ankle, and it
has impacted his conditioning. He is not expected to play in the season
opener. Jeremy Price and Chris Barnes each had offseason surgery, and Barnes
still isn’t 100%. Albert Jackson went
down with a scary injury in last week’s exhibition, but it proved to be
only a sprained ankle, and Jackson should be fine. Woodbury has had ankle issues
of his own.
Outlook
Can Georgia get quality point guard play, and can anyone hit the three with
any consistency? Those backcourt questions are keeping dampers on expectations
and hopes for the team until answers can be found. Fans expecting a significant
leap forward building on the end of last season might be disappointed. Losing
the top two scorers leaves a big vacuum, and it’s questionable whether or not
the Dawgs can find the firepower to compensate. The preseason consensus again
has Georgia fighting to remain out of the basement in the SEC’s tougher division.
A lot will be expected of Woodbury in particular. He came on strong in the
postseason last year, and he’s one of the few players on this team who can generate
offense inside and outside. If the perimeter game struggles, I wouldn’t be surprised
to see the Dawgs ask Woodbury to take on the role of the shooting guard at times.
Whether that would mean a bigger look with three post players or sliding someone
like Zlovaric or Leslie in at the 3 is a situational decision up to the coaches,
but options like that have to be considered if, as expected, offense is slow
to come from the smaller guards. Still another option is to play Ware and Swansey
at the same time and let Zac try his hand at the shooting guard position.
Unless the backcourt surprises, success will require big nights from the frontcourt
as well as transition opportunities created by defense and rebounding. The frontcourt
can expect to face some compact zones until someone proves they can bust the
zone from a deeper three-point arc.
I’ll be thrilled…with an 8-8 or better finish in
the SEC and an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.
I’ll be disappointed…with anything like last season’s
4-12 SEC regular season. It’s way past time to move forward.
I expect…between 6-8 SEC wins and an overall win
total somewhere around 16-18. I’d like to at least split the four games with
Illinois, Mizzou, and the two Techs. They should at least win the first game
of the NIT, and it will be a good test to see if this Felton team can do better
away from home than some of his others.
I realize that my expectations don’t call for an encore in the NCAA Tournament.
The result is that we can likely expect the return of the same discussions about
the future direction of the program which the tournament run helped to silence
(temporarily) last year. It’s generally accepted that the SEC Tournament title
saved Felton’s job, but did it buy him anything more than one more year?
Wednesday November 12, 2008
Georgia Southern (5-5): –
Central Michigan (7-2): Fans of the Chippewas can skip their
cardiologist appointments. Four of CMU’s seven wins have come by three points
or less. Still perfect in the MAC, they enter a key stretch in conference play.
They will play on consecutive Wednesday nights against Northern Illinois and
Ball State. The big question is the availability of QB Dan LeFevour. LeFevour
has been banged up for the past month, and a starter still has not been named
for the NIU game. Brian Brunner has been stellar in relief, and his line against
Indiana was outstanding (35-53, 485 yds, 4 TD passing, 1 TD rushing). THIS WEEK:
@ Northern Illinois
South Carolina (7-3): The good news? South Carolina has won
6 out of their last 7 and has deservedly returned to the rankings after a solid
win over Arkansas. Beat Clemson and it’s at worst an 8-4 season with a decent
bowl ahead. The bad news? Enjoy the trip to Gainesville. THIS WEEK: @ Florida
Arizona State (3-6): If you need to heal what ails you, play
Washington. ASU was able to end a six-game slide by pulling away from the Huskies.
It’s noteworthy that the pass-happy Sun Devils got it done with 182 rushing
yards against Washington. They should also win this weekend’s game with Washington
State before making a final push towards bowl eligibility. THIS WEEK: Washington
State
Alabama (10-0): Alabama’s in the position we "enjoyed"
at the start of the season. Sure, they’re #1, but everyone seems anxious for
them to lose and make way for the real contenders. But unlike Georgia,
Alabama keeps winning and won’t let go of their top ranking. Will they slip
up before the showdown with Florida? Not likely, but that’s why they play the
games. MSU did pull the upset last year. THIS WEEK: Mississippi State
Tennessee (3-7): Despite the resignation of Phil Fulmer, the
Vols still had a shot at a bowl bid if they won remaining games against Wyoming,
Kentucky, and Vanderbilt. In any other year, those would be gimmes, but this
is no typical Vol season. Wyoming, who might be
looking to replace their own bird-flipping
coach, came into Knoxville, collected their paycheck, and left with an ugly
13-7 win. Rocky Top has hit rock bottom. What’s left for the Vols? Two things:
one – play spoiler in Vanderbilt’s quest for bowl eligibility. Two – extend
the 23-game winning streak over Kentucky. A Vol loss in either game is going
to make a bit of history. Oh – and no Tennessee team has ever lost eight games
in a season. THIS WEEK: BYE
Vanderbilt (5-4): Is the Tennessee game Vandy’s best last
chance for that elusive 6th win? The Commodores are reeling and weren’t in the
Florida game for more than 5 minutes. THIS WEEK: @ Kentucky
LSU (6-3): Georgia fans can relate. The defending SEC champion
turns things over to a freshman quarterback who starts hemorrhaging killer interceptions.
Sound familiar? It’s a down year relatively speaking, but the Tiger defense
has kept it from being worse. LSU will be back, and things could be much worse
in a rebuilding year. THIS WEEK: Troy
Florida (8-1): Florida’s starts against Kentucky and Vanderbilt
made me think how good of a job Georgia did in the first half of the WLOCP.
The Gators are doing whatever they want to in the first half these days, and
if you give them an opening in something so minute as punt protection, they
will exploit it in painful repetition. With the defense playing well, the Gators
could most weeks survive an off game from the offense, but that doesn’t seem
to be a problem that’s going to present itself. Two years ago it took a few
blocked kicks to survive South Carolina’s trip to the Swamp. THIS WEEK: South
Carolina
Kentucky (6-4): The Wildcats have to be wondering one thing:
did they find something in Randall Cobb, or was that just the Georgia defense?
The passing game wasn’t especially explosive, but who needs it when the most
basic of running plays will move you up and down the field? Kentucky had a pair
of eight win seasons with Andre Woodson. They’re two winnable regular
season games away from eight wins and a decent bowl bid without Woodson
and with a quarterback situation that would make Auburn and Tennessee hesitant
to trade places. Not bad. THIS WEEK: Vanderbilt
Auburn (5-5): Auburn played to its strength and saw Kodi Burns
and a trio of tailbacks lead the way to 290 yards on the ground in a 37-20 win
over Tennessee-Martin. The story is incomplete without noting that this was
a 27-20 game in the 4th quarter and that Auburn rested a few defensive starters.
Auburn, though down, still has plenty of motivation in its final two games.
Not only are these the traditional rivalry games; Auburn must also win at least
one of them to avoid a losing season and avoid missing out on the postseason.
THIS WEEK: Georgia
Georgia Tech (7-3): Tech’s ACC title hopes took a big hit
with Saturday’s loss at UNC. Though the season has been positive to this point,
the Jackets are just 1-3 in their division of the ACC and hold none of the tiebreakers
they’d need even if they can beat Miami. Without an FSU fumble, we’d be talking
about a team that lost three straight. Tech won’t play another Saturday game
until their visit to Athens; a Thursday night home game with Miami wraps up
their conference slate next week. THIS WEEK: BYE
Tuesday November 11, 2008
The Georgia defense has been the focal point of conversation this week, and
with good reason. Some go right to coaching. Some note a few key injuries. Others
question leadership. Then there’s the lack of big plays from the defensive ends
and defensive backs. I think pwd
does a good job of laying out the situation here. Lots of different takes
on things, but the common tie is that no one is happy with the play of the defense.
That dissatisfaction includes, as you’d hope, the players themselves. Corvey
Irvin, Dannell Ellerbe, and Rennie Curran challenged the defense on Monday in
a player-only meeting. What
came out of the meeting was in part encouraging but also a little disturbing.
First, credit the players for taking ownership of the problem and showing some
leadership. It’s not too late to end the season on a strong defensive note.
In 2006, the defense was left for dead after allowing a last-minute Kentucky
scoring drive. The defense bounced back, started creating turnovers and big
plays, and was a big part of Georgia’s memorable wins against Auburn, Georgia
Tech, and Virginia Tech.
The disturbing part is that here we are again hoping, for the third straight
year, for a November turnaround from the defense. Players come and go, but this
is a song we’ve heard before. You’d hope and expect, given the national expectations
of the program entering the year, not to hear something like this from Rennie
Curran ten games into the season:
“We’ve got to do everything in practice the same way we would in a game.
We’ve got to quit joking in practice when we miss an assignment. It’s
not funny any more and we’ve got to stop thinking that it is. We just
can’t go out there in the game and turn on a switch and be an amazing
defense.”
Now I trust no one has the impression that Georgia practices are Keystone Cops
routines with a laugh track. Coach Garner more than anyone on the staff gets
after his defensive linemen. What we’re talking about is a more subtle erosion
of focus relative to the level of competition. These are practice habits forged
in the offseason, and I doubt what Curran is talking about is something that
has just now come up.
Mark Richt on
Sunday was a little defensive and even became somewhat pedantic about the
performance of his defense. He deflected questions about scheme by remarking
(correctly) that "people don’t get it" and most fans don’t have a
clue what the defensive call is on a given play. That’s very true; most people
criticisng the Georgia defense think that "cover everybody" would
be a better coverage call than "cover one". It might help to know
that a fire zone has nothing to do with parking, but even dumb fans could see
that something wasn’t quite right with the defense at Kentucky. Darryl
Gamble indicated it had something to do with preparation.
“We really didn’t prep for (quarterback Randall Cobb) to run
the ball as much as he did,” linebacker Darryl Gamble said. “We
really didn’t think that was a main focus and wasn’t really prepared
for it.”
The execution and talent angles hold a lot less water after a statement like
that. It’s true that the Kentucky option was a new look, but no one should have
been surprised by the Kentucky offense running the ball and Cobb doing a lot
of that running. In his first start of the year at Mississippi State, he ran
the ball 12 times. When he replaced the starter at Florida, he rushed 9 times
for a team-high 52 yards. He averaged 4.3 yards per pass attempt in each of
those games. What exactly did the Georgia coaches expect to see?
Just in case anyone is unsure: Auburn and Georgia Tech like to run the ball.
A lot. Even from the quarterback position. It would be nice if that was a main
focus of practice over the next few weeks so that the defense might be prepared
for it.
Sunday November 9, 2008
Of course Green’s catch was the highlight, but I think this third quarter completion was the most important play of the game:
3rd-8, UGa22 6:35 M. Stafford passed to M. Massaquoi down the middle for 12 yard gain
Here’s the situation. Georgia had just given up the lead and trailed 24-21 after Kentucky converted their blocked punt. The Wildcats had just scored 10 straight points out of the locker room. Remember that this Georgia team saw the game get away from them in the third quarter last week, and it was starting to happen again. Georgia had a net -3 yards so far in the third quarter. Knowshon Moreno had just been stuffed on first and second down, setting up Georgia with 3rd-and-8 from their own 22 and the momentum completely on the other side of the ball.
Massaquoi started as one of three receivers split out right. The line protected well and Massaquoi was able to get separation from cornerback Shomari Moore and in front of safety Ashton Cobb across the middle. Stafford planted and drilled a pass across the middle right to the open Massaquoi.
The completion turned out to be the first of four consecutive completions by Stafford on the drive. The longest was a 22-yard strike to Michael Moore down to the Wildcat 25. Two plays later, Knowshon Moreno took it in from 20 yards out for his second score of the day. Georgia was back ahead 28-24.
Kentucky would score again (twice more, actually) and take the lead back, but the significance of this play and drive was in Georgia’s ability to answer and avoid getting run out of the game in a repeat of the Florida game. Instead of contributing further to the meltdown, the Georgia offense passed a big test and responded. With more sloppy defense and special teams play yet to come, the offense would need this kind of fortitude several more times down the stretch.
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