A truncated 10-minute fourth quarter tells you all you need to know about the one-sidedness of this game. Georgia didn’t score in the 60s or 70s like some of its SEC brethren in their guarantee games, but we should know by now how Kirby Smart approaches these games. There was a ton of situational work and early and frequent substitutions.

Georgia’s advantages in all three phases showed up on the first plays for the defense, special teams, and offense. TTU went horizontal on their first snap, and that’s rarely a good idea against the Georgia defense. Anthony Evans followed with his best punt return of the season to set up Georgia’s possession. Carson Beck immediately hit Dillon Bell on a corner route for Georgia’s first score. The Bulldogs had 14 points after running eight plays, and it did seem for a minute as if we were on our way to a score we’ve only seen in postseason games.

The scoring slowed to a trickle from the late first quarter into the second as both teams sustained lengthy drives with few explosive plays. Georgia marched down the field on a 14-play drive that took over 5 minutes but fizzled with two incompletions inside the 5. They had to settle for a chip shot field goal. TTU followed with an 11-play drive that consumed nearly half of the second quarter but advanced no further than the Georgia 38. Georgia put points on the board on their first four possessions, but the teams combining for two possessions that ate up twelve and a half minutes put the brakes on runaway scoring.

Georgia opened the second half with a pair of quick strike scores surrounding a TTU fumble, the only turnover of the game. That was enough to turn the game over to the reserves. Fans who stuck around got to see Gunner Stockton run the offense and a number of players make their Sanford Stadium debuts. It was a memorable afternoon for players like Jordan Thomas and Chris Cole, and Justyn Rhett will probably be fine with moving on to the next game.

It was fun to see Beck toss five touchdown passes, Etienne make his first appearance for Georgia, and the defense dominate. The main draw of these lopsided games to me though is the opportunity to empty the bench. For many of us it’s our first glimpses of players who drove last year’s recruiting news and who Georgia is counting on to sustain its place atop college football. Some of them will end up redshirting; others might earn more playing time as they gain experience. It’s peeking into the future – a luxury we don’t get often during the game-to-game grind.

Go-to guys

Georgia spread the ball around to 15 different receivers against TTU. Of course several of those were reserves getting playing time later in the game, but after two games we’ve seen a combination of around ten tailbacks, tight ends, and wide receivers emerge as credible targets for Carson Beck. That depth makes the Georgia offense unpredictable and versatile enough to attack different defensive approaches. At the same time, there’s one question Georgia hasn’t had to answer yet: who does Beck look to when he needs a key reception late in the game or on a big third down? The answer seems to be a work in progress. Georgia is only converting 40% of third downs so far (8 of 20.) Whether that’s a quirk of the first two games or something that will matter more in tighter games remains to be seen.

Recently of course it’s been Bowers, McConkey, or even AD Mitchell who could be expected to be targeted when the Dawgs needed a catch. Who might that be in 2024?

• Arian Smith leads the team with nine receptions. The long reception to open the third quarter is what most people associate with Smith, but Smith’s role this year has expanded beyond “go deep.” His deep threat helps him create space to break off routes for short gains, and we’ve seen him involved in screens and jet motion. His blocking has also improved which helps him stay on the field for a wider variety of plays. Smith still needs to improve after the catch and develop moves to evade the first tackler that will let him turn shorter gains into explosive plays.
• Dillon Bell won’t be lining up in the backfield this year, but his eight receptions show that he’s expected to be a bigger part of the passing game.
• Dominic Lovett is third on the team with six receptions primarily from the slot. He’s made some fantastic moves after the catch, and his veteran experience showed against TTU in tight quarters to get open for a touchdown. The combination of SEC experience and elusiveness might make him a top go-to option.
• Colbie Young has made the most of his three receptions. Young leads the team with two touchdown receptions and has been targeted several other times in the redzone. His 6’3″ frame makes him a natural target in tight quarters. There are still some timing and accuracy issues between Beck and Young.
• If you want a big catch, there were few bigger than the two third-and-long receptions by London Humphries in the opener. Humphries didn’t catch a pass against TTU, but his performance against a tough Clemson defense said plenty.

As for replacing Bowers, it’s interesting that Luckie has been the primary receiving threat from the tight end position. He has four receptions including a couple of explosive plays while Delp has just one reception through two games. Ben Yurosek got on the field early, but he’s yet to record a catch.

Extra Points

• TTU only attempted eight passes, and most of those were after halftime. Their five receptions totaled 18 yards. This wasn’t a game that featured Georgia’s secondary in much other than a run support role. There were still some individual standout moments. KJ Bolden’s sack on a safety blitz effectively forced an early three-and-out. Dan Jackson had a couple of big hits including an outstanding tackle at full speed along the Georgia sideline.
• Tackling overall though wasn’t a strong point for the Georgia defense. After lost-yardage plays hurt them early on, TTU found success up the middle in the running game that let them sustain two first half drives. It didn’t result in points, but the drives took 12 minutes off the clock and kept Georgia’s offense off the field.
• As thoroughly drilled and mentally tough an elite team like Georgia must be, focus can wander in games like this. It could definitely show up in tackling, and penalties are another likely result. Georgia’s nine penalties led to some stalled drives and ultimately TTU’s only points. On a hot day during a blowout it can be easy not to lock in and reach and grab.
• Branson Robinson ran with much more confidence than he did in the opener. That’s to be expected after working back from such a serious injury; often learning to trust the recovery is a big mental step. Watching him attack running lanes and drag defenders looked a lot more like the old #22.
• Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins and Christen Miller have flashed in each of the first two games. That’s significant with Brinson and Williams injured. Ingram-Dawkins in particular is playing with better consistency and will improve the rest of the defense.
• Did you enjoy a cold one? There was no shortage of places to grab a beer around the stadium, and many fans looked to be partaking in the novelty of alcohol sales in Sanford Stadium. It was unfortunate though that folks who just wanted some cold water on a hot gameday had to join the beer lines; more standalone water stations would have been nice given the conditions.

Georgia’s 2014 win over Clemson is probably best remembered as the game that introduced the world to one of the most talented backfields in college football. The night belonged to Todd Gurley who added a kickoff return touchdown to 198 yards and three rushing scores. It was also the debut of Nick Chubb whose 47-yard scoring jaunt showed the speed, physicality, and determination that would define his career. Sony Michel even averaged 5.5 yards on 6 carries – not a bad start.

On the other side of the field though was a heralded freshman quarterback waiting his turn behind an established starter. Deshaun Watson saw limited time in that game and only attempted four passes. He threw Clemson’s only touchdown pass, and it was a laser down the middle of the field that showcased the range, power, and accuracy that justified the hype surrounding his recruitment. Clemson fans will never look back on a big loss to Georgia fondly, but Watson’s touchdown strike represented the start of something.

That 2014 season was a transitional year for Clemson. Watson couldn’t completely overtake Cole Stoudt for the starting job, but the future was evident. Over the next six seasons Clemson reached the playoffs five times, played for four national titles, and won twice. Georgia might have been fortunate to get Clemson early in 2014; the Tigers were on the verge of taking their above-average program on a run to become perhaps the elite program of the late 2010s.

The beginning and end of dominant eras aren’t always so clearly delineated by single games. Some very good teams don’t quite make it over the hump, and others do. Georgia fans spent the period from 2017-2021 wondering what could turn a talented and successful program into a champion. In hindsight that era was the leadup to the 2021 and 2022 titles. Georgia’s tight 10-3 win over Clemson in 2021 didn’t necessarily dethrone Clemson; it served more to demonstrate that Georgia belonged on the field with a program seen at the time as one of the best. Clemson hasn’t been to the playoffs since 2020, but they are still perennial ACC favorites and played for the conference title game 7 of the past 9 years.

Georgia’s resounding 34-3 win on Saturday, Clemson’s largest regular season margin of defeat since 2013, might let us close the door on a ten year Clemson era. The Tigers are still a good football team and might even contend for the ACC title in 2024. There was no mistaking though the difference between a team positioned to compete for a national title and just another above-average P4 team. Decline can be gradual and nonlinear, but certain results are definitive. Georgia’s depth of talent, speed, playmakers on both sides of the ball overwhelmed a team that wasn’t up to par both in personnel and execution. Some made this game into a referendum on Dabo Swinney’s reluctance to accept transfers, but it would take a lot of high-impact transfers to make up the ground between a program built with top 3 recruiting classes and one that’s struggled to land a top 10 class over the past three seasons. Clemson’s freshmen class contributed very little against Georgia: what we saw from the Tigers was the culmination of several years of recruiting and roster development by the Clemson staff, and it’s left their program at quite a different state than Georgia’s.

Welcome

On the other hand newcomers – both freshmen and transfers – factored into the outcome for Georgia. There’s always some trepidation about a season opener. We got a preview of life without Bowers and McConkey late last season, but there was uncertainty on the other side of the ball too with three key secondary players off to the NFL. It didn’t take long for newcomers to have a presence in this game. Safety KJ Bolden started things off with a clean open-field tackle on a third down pass play. Bolden’s readiness to play right away allowed the coaches some flexibility in the defensive backfield that paid off with the play of of Malaki Starks at star. Julian Humphrey isn’t new to the team, but he handled an expanded role as the second cornerback well.

The second half scoring outburst featured several of the offense’s newcomers. Colbie Young came to Georgia with the promise of being a tall weapon in the red zone, and he scored Georgia’s first touchdown of the season on a perfect back-shoulder pass from Beck. London Humphreys had to come in the game after Dillon Bell cramped up and had an immediate impact. His 23-yard catch on a 3rd and 10 at midfield sustained the second drive of the half and led to another score. Humphreys himself got in the endzone on another 3rd and long conversion that featured the speed that caught the eye of Georgia fans in Nashville last season.

Preseason hype is as much a part of summer as the heat, but if you sorted through the noise you kept hearing the name Nate Frazier. The loss of two top tailbacks for the game caused some concern about the running game, and Frazier got his opportunity. His first half was unassuming with a handful of carries, but he came to life in the second half. Needing an answer after Clemson’s field goal, Beck found Frazier out of the backfield for a 24-yard reception. Frazier finished off the drive for his first touchdown as a Bulldog. Georgia’s final scoring drive got the Frazier hype train going full speed: he started it with a shifty 40-yard run that saw him break tackles, explode across the middle of the field, and make tacklers miss en route to the other sideline. He followed that immediately with a 16-yard run that patiently bounced outside twice until he found room.

You remember when Georgia’s long line of great tailbacks had that first signature play that made you take notice. Swift’s touchdown run to clinch the 2017 SEC title. Chubb’s toss sweep romp through Clemson in 2014. Michel on a tunnel screen the next week at South Carolina. That 40-yard burst from Frazier got a lot of people outside of Athens talking, and the realization that Georgia has another weapon on offense has Bulldog fans excited. Frazier finished with over 100 all-purpose yards.

The three phases

The offense still goes through Carson Beck, and it took a while to get going. Beck admitted that nerves and anxiousness were a factor early on, and it cost a few opportunities. A red zone slant to Young sailed high, and Georgia had to settle for a field goal. Later a pass to Lovett was thrown behind the receiver, and the broadcast mentioned Beck taking ownership and needing to calm down. Beck did calm down, and the Georgia offense picked up with the help of good play design. Frequent presnap motion forced Clemson to tip their defensive alignment and made things easier for Beck. That motion and the usual dose of play-action opened things up from the second quarter. Though it took over a half to get into the endzone Georgia put points on the board on 6 of 8 drives after the first quarter.

A near-shutout of a top 15 opponent requires a total team defensive effort, and that’s what Georgia got. The Tigers were held to 46 yards rushing (none longer than 9 yards) while being unable to capitalize on just a handful of explosive pass plays. Cade Klubnik averaged a scant 4.9 yards per attempt, and the Tigers were just 4-14 on 3rd and 4th downs. But within that collective result there were individual standouts. Jalon Walker is a havoc machine lined up everywhere from middle linebacker to the edge, and it’s tough to key on him when Mykel Williams is just as difficult a matchup. The linebackers are a solid barrier side-to-side. Georgia’s secondary held its own without Aguero available, and the versatility of Starks is on par with what Bowers meant to the offense over the past three seasons.

A year ago freshman kicker Peyton Woodring got off to a shaky start. He missed 3 of his first 7 FG attempts including two misses in a close win over South Carolina. Since that game Woodring has only missed once – a 50-yarder against Alabama after a sack and penalty cost Georgia 12 yards of field position. He’s been steady and reliable from short and moderate range, and Saturday’s career-long 55-yarder shows that he can be effective from longer range now. Georgia’s edge on special teams was as evident as their advantages in the other two phases. Woodring allowed Georgia to build a modest lead in the second quarter. Thorson continually pinned Clemson inside their 20. Evans had some modest success returning punts, but most important was his effort to field nearly everything: a zero-yard return of a line-drive punt that could roll another 20 yards is just as valuable as a highlight return.

Extra points

• On a team with so many deep position groups, the inside linebackers stand out. Mondon is healthy and active. Allen always had the speed as a freshman, but he’s more instinctual now. The best surprise might’ve been Raylen Wilson. Wilson played in a reserve role in 2023 but was featured quite a bit more against Clemson and jumped off the screen. Mondon, Allen, and Wilson each finished with four tackles and shut down what Clemson wanted to do at and along the line of scrimmage. There’s more to come – Justin Williams stopped a runner dead cold in the backfield during garbage time sending a late jolt through the crowd.
• Clemson struggled to sustain much of anything in the first half, but the margin was close. Three of their five first half drives ended at 4th and 1, 4th, and 1, and 4th and 3. Georgia’s tackling had something to do with those drives coming up just short, but Clemson’s execution and routes didn’t do them any favors.
• I’m not mad that there weren’t many downfield shots to Arian Smith. We know what Smith can do vertically. To earn a spot on the field beyond those few shot plays Smith has had to develop additional skills beyond speed. It was encouraging then to see him catching shorter and more difficult sideline routes. He ended up among Georgia’s leading receivers, and the offense found a way to get him more involved than we saw earlier in his career.
• Depth along the defensive line was tested. It was thin to begin with, and Brinson’s early injury meant that Stackhouse and Miller in particular had to play more snaps than you’d usually see from Georgia. Freshman Joseph Jonah-Ajonye got on the field for some experience. Brinson and McLeod should be available soon, but it will be a position where you have to watch for wear and tear as the season progresses.
• It was unexpected but a pleasant surprise to build a large enough advantage that so many players were able to get experience in a game of this magnitude early in the season. Seven players recorded a rush, nine players recorded a reception, and 23 defenders recorded a tackle. Overall at least 62 Bulldogs saw action.
• The job of replacing Brock Bowers is one of the big 2024 storylines, and Georgia used all three of its experienced tight ends. It’s no surprise that the superhuman Bowers production was hard to replicate. Luckie caught the two receptions in the game for the TE position including a nice cut out of a slant that resulted in a long gain. Delp was only targeted once and was covered well, but Delp’s development as a blocker has continued from last season. Yurosek was thrown into the deep end early in the game and will have to continue to get up to speed with the physicality of the SEC. Georgia’s offense was finally victimized by the same defensive line stem used so often to get opposing offenses to jump, and it was Yurosek who drew the penalty.
• We heard a lot last year about “extensions to the running game” especially early in the year when several top tailbacks were injured. Georgia’s running game wasn’t dominant against Clemson the way it was, say, in 2014, but much of what Georgia did started with releases or motion out of or across the backfield. It started with Arian Smith on jet motion on Georgia’s first snap and went from there.
• Operationally it was a fairly clean game for an opener, and that’s to be expected of Georgia by now. There were some costly penalties to clean up, but there were no real visible moments of disorganization or confusion from the sideline. The Dawgs avoided turnovers and special teams mistakes, and they’ll be tough to beat if that continues.

Georgia has won 40 consecutive regular season games as an SEC team in an era of rapid roster turnover and wholesale changes to the structure of the sport. Sustaining that streak will become more difficult in the coming weeks, but Georgia’s first outing of 2024 shows that they just might have the stuff to do it.

A few weeks ago I wondered what a postseason home game would look like. Hopefully Georgia will earn a bye and the high seed that comes with an auto bid, but the possibility of getting an at-large bid has to be considered. When Georgia has hosted NCAA postseason events in other sports, those games have often been ticketed through a separate process without much regard to how tickets were issued during the regular season. Would it be the same for Sanford Stadium if Georgia hosted a first-round CFP game? Would it resemble a true home game, or would the CFP allocate tickets themselves?

To the athletic department’s credit, we know those answers before the season starts. Season ticket holders recently received a postcard outlining exactly how it will work. Some key points:

• Season ticket holders will have the first right to purchase “their” seats for a CFP home game.
• It’s all or nothing – you either buy all of your seats or forfeit them for this game. (No buying only two tickets of a four seat block.)
• Once season ticket holders accept or decline their seats, the remainder will be available based on the priority system.
• There is no distribution process for an away CFP game. They expect the visitor allotment to be small enough not to bother with.

No surprise: there is nothing about pricing. It’s likely the tickets will be priced at usual CFP levels, and those high prices might influence whether season ticket holder with large blocks decide to opt in.

This system seems about as fair as it could be. It should be reassuring to season ticket holders who might have worried about getting pushed out of seeing a home playoff game. You’ll pay for the right to be there, but you’ll still have first say.

As a bonus the postcard also included the 2024 postseason donation requirements and ticket quantities. We know what it will take to qualify for tickets to the SEC championship, the CFP, and any other bowl game. Of course games held in Atlanta (SECCG and the CFP quarterfinal at the Peach Bowl) will have the highest cutoff levels. Fans have until November 1st to add to their cumulative donation.

First, get a load of the new court. Reaction has been enthusiastic – it looks as if the redesign hit the right notes. One underrated design choice was the use of the collegiate block letters on the baseline from the popular retro uniforms rather than the modernized font.

Coach Abe got some fantastic news this week with a commitment from 5’11” guard Aubrey Beckham. Beckham, a 2025 prospect from Hebron Christian Academy in Dacula, is rated as the #30 prospect in the nation by ESPN.

The commitment is significant on many levels. Most important of course is that she can play a valuable position well. She’d be the highest-rated prospect to play for Georgia in several seasons. Beckham is touted as a “floor general” who can lead Georgia’s offensive attack. With how much of Coach Abe’s offense depends on a steady player in command like Diamond Battles or Asia Avinger, it’s easy to see how a talented guard like Beckham could thrive in this system.

Beckham’s commitment also represents an important milestone for Coach Abe’s recruiting. If she takes the court in 2025, she’ll be the first Lady Dog freshman from the state of Georgia since Jillian Hollingshead in 2021. She’d be Coach Abe’s first signee from Georgia and just her second player from the state. (De’Mauri Flournoy transferred in from Vanderbilt shortly after Coach Abe was hired.) Georgia has always been a national program with greats like Katrina McClain, Saudia Roundtree, Kelly and Coco Miller, and Deanna Nolan hailing from out of state. There’s always been room though for some of the state’s best talent. Angel Robinson, Ashley Houts, Tasha Humphries, and of course Teresa Edwards were must-have in-state prospects. Those foundational players have been heading elsewhere recently.

Coach Abe had to fill a depleted roster any way she could, and her staff did not have deep ties to the state of Georgia. She leaned on the connections she brought from UCF while her recruiting operation in Georgia had to be built from the ground up. It hasn’t been easy nor fruitful. Relationships that lead to commitments can take years to develop even with prospects within the state. Take Essence Cody, a talented player from Georgia now at Alabama. Cody began receiving offers and developing relationships with programs since the 8th grade – well before Abe took over at Georgia. Making things more difficult was the inability to host camps which are invaluable opportunities to get elite prospects on campus and sell the program. The triple whammy of the Covid pandemic, the coaching transition in 2022, and Stegeman Coliseum roof construction in 2023 meant that until 2024 Georgia had been unable to host summer camps since 2019.

Perhaps the commitment of Beckham shows that things are beginning to change. Georgia was clearly on the mind of more top prospects after camp season this summer, and several will take visits this fall. Director of Recruiting Operations Brianna Patton recently returned back to Georgia from a successful stint at Ole Miss and is already paying dividends.

It’s unreasonable to put the pressure on Beckham to be the pied piper leading other elite prospects to Georgia, but she is the kind of player and leader on the court that other good players would want to play with. Georgia has added five top-100 signees over the past two years, and now they’re beginning to attract that kind of talent from Georgia. If Beckham’s commitment is a sign that Georgia is making inroads with the depth of talent in this state, the difficult task of returning Georgia back to the top of the SEC will seem much more likely to succeed.

There are many Kirby-isms that have become lore among Georgia fans. “You’re either elite or you’re not.” “Keep chopping wood.” But one lesser-repeated line from a 2022 press conference might rise above them all to define Kirby Smart’s Georgia program.

“We built a program to be sustained.”

Following the 2021 national title season, Smart asserted during the 2022 SEC Media Days that his program wasn’t a flash in the pan. “We didn’t build this program on hoping for one-year wonders. We built a program to be sustained. This program was built to be here for a long time.”

Smart didn’t waste time backing up his words. The Bulldogs repeated as national champions and followed up with a top three finish in 2023. Now entering the expanded playoff era, Seth Emerson reflects on that sustainability when he concludes that “no college football team in America seems better positioned for the new era than Georgia.”

There’s no need to rehash the personnel and program strengths that have Georgia near or at the top of every preseason poll. (Though they should never be taken for granted either.) Georgia isn’t scrambling to find a quarterback or guys who can run, catch, block, or tackle. No team is perfect, and but Georgia’s concerns are now first-world problems at the margins of performance and mental toughness. Even as Smart sustains the program at a high level, that success at the margins can determine which seasons end with titles and which come up just short. It’s worth spending a few lines on what might threaten Georgia’s high level of success in the 2024 season.

You know what they say about “assume”

Emerson identifies a few of those threats, and the first is complacency or entitlement. The season’s slogan “assume nothing” is the response. Georgia might be set up for long-term success, but it has to be earned every year from the ground up. That’s been a consistent message from Smart even after a championship. Coming off a season that fell short of a national or SEC title, there is no reason for anyone to be satisfied or complacent. TE coach Todd Hartley illustrates how the ingrained focus on process helps to put the “assume nothing” slogan into practical terms. “When you’re not thinking about the outcomes and you’re focusing on the process, you don’t even think about (everything else)” – the playoff, the SEC, or the 12-game grind. If each game is a new test of the team’s preparation and standard of execution, there’s no point in looking down the road or being satisfied with the last result.

What do you do well?

“Assume nothing” goes beyond mindset to execution from week to week. We take certain things as givens entering the season. A Kirby Smart team will always have a good defense. The Dawgs are loaded on the edge. Carson Beck has command of the offense. There is veteran experience on the defensive line, and the offensive line should contend for the Joe Moore Award. The key to any successful season is to make sure the strengths perform like strengths while improving weaknesses. What happens when our assumptions are tested?

The offense, as good as it was all regular season, hit a wall against Alabama, literally and figuratively, because it couldn’t run the ball. That shouldn’t have been a problem in that game, but it was, and now Georgia has less experience at tailback, banking on Florida transfer Trevor Etienne and a host of sophomores and freshmen.

That observation hits on two areas. Georgia’s offensive line is touted as a strength, and it must consistently play like one. Alabama was able to control the line of scrimmage with just a four-man rush, and things only got worse once Mims was out of the game. Bama’s defensive front was talented and better than any Georgia saw in 2023, but the challenges for the offensive line are more likely to be on that end of the spectrum in 2024 given the quality of teams Georgia must face.

There’s a larger issue: explosiveness. Alabama made a coverage adjustment after Georgia’s opening scoring drive, and – aside from a 50-yard pass to Arian Smith in the 3rd quarter – largely bottled up the Bulldog offense. Yes, Georgia struggled to run the ball, but the combination of Alabama’s effective pass rush and split safeties controlling the middle of the field took away big plays in the passing game. It mattered that Bowers and McConkey, two of Georgia’s most explosive receiving threats, were hampered by injuries, and their limitations gave Alabama confidence in their adjustment.

Here’s the thing, though – Bowers, McConkey, and in total four of the top five receivers from 2023 are gone. That explosiveness will have to come from elsewhere. Dillon Bell emerged as a playmaker late in the season. We know all about Arian Smith’s speed, but can he be more than the guy who gets targeted deep two or three times a game? Dominick Lovett has been a productive receiver for two SEC programs and should have a major role. There is depth at tight end. It’s not just talent. Beck clearly had a comfort level with Bowers and McConkey. Developing that connection and instinct with a new group of go-to receivers takes work and time. Scattered practice and scrimmage reports suggest that work might still be ongoing.

Finishing the season

You’ve heard plenty about Georgia’s schedule, but it’s unusual to see a valid point that doesn’t relate to Alabama or Texas:

The part that on paper gives Smart the most heartburn is November: Florida isn’t expected to be very good, but it’s still the Cocktail Party, and then Georgia has to turn around and go to Ole Miss. Then a week after that is a home game against Tennessee, which could be problematic. It’s a month — and a season — where Georgia’s depth will be tested.

That’s not to disrespect the challenge of playing at Texas and Alabama or the need to stay focused week to week against opponents like Clemson, Kentucky, and Auburn. But think about the state of Georgia’s team last November. Bowers and McConkey were dinged up. Dumas-Johnson had a broken arm, and, as we learned later, Mondon played injured the entire season. Mims was never quite at full strength after ankle surgery and took himself out of the SEC championship game. Every team is banged up to some extent at the end of the season, and Georgia wasn’t spared. The schedule was forgiving enough for the Bulldogs to navigate the regular season unscathed, but the wear and tear of even a lesser schedule mattered in Atlanta.

Smart earlier this month addressed concerns with his team’s depth, and you’d expect those issues to begin showing up later in the season. Late-season depth concerns matter more now for teams with national title aspirations: with a potential for 16 or even 17 games due to the expanded playoff, over half of the national champion’s games will occur after November 1st. If Georgia emerges from its difficult regular season as a championship contender, in what shape will the team be entering the postseason?

Kirby Smart raised some eyebrows discussing the state of his roster this week.

“I feel like we have less depth than we’ve ever had,” he claimed. “And that’s kind of a common theme talking to other coaches I talk to. I call it the deterioration of football.”

Hearing Smart fret about depth sends many fans one of two ways. You have those who laugh it off – there goes Kirby again channeling his inner Dooley and fighting complacency. Then there’s the twinge of panic. Depth? What happened to all of those signing classes? Why don’t we have any players? Are they all busts?

It makes a little more sense when Smart explains what he means by “depth.” Of course Georgia doesn’t lack for talented athletes with high ceilings. He’s also not poor-mouthing his roster. Smart elaborated, “Every year we’ve been here, I feel like we’ve had more players capable of going in and playing winning football, and every year that (number) goes down. So, we have to keep working to increase that number….We have less guys that know and execute our system.”

In that light “depth” is the set of players Smart considers able to execute Georgia’s system to his standard (“winning football.”) In Smart’s view, that set is in danger of shrinking year over year even as the talent level remains high. That’s an important and real distinction. We saw a gifted athlete like C.J. Allen do amazing things as a true freshman, but we also saw him forced into learning on the job at times. The concern is that injuries and other factors might force a coach’s hand as the pool of players ready to perform to Georgia’s standard decreases, and that could lead to a less effective unit on the field. In other words, deterioration.

Smart suggests a few root causes. There’s the transfer portal, sure, and players transferring into a new system will always have a learning curve. But Georgia has had the luxury of being selective in its use of the portal, and those transfers aren’t often viewed as developmental projects. Another issue Smart raises is players arriving at the next level less prepared than their predecessors because “their practice regimen and practice schedule is tougher” now in high school. Certainly someone who has been at the forefront of the recruiting game for 20 years and himself grew up around the high school coaching environment would have finely-tuned insight into the development and readiness of high school prospects.

The upcoming roster limit expansion from 85 to 105 doesn’t necessarily help things. A larger pool of players at the same state of development doesn’t change the roster’s quality or give Smart the depth he’s looking for. Meanwhile the portal and NIL make it more difficult concentrate “winning football” players on a handful of rosters. That’s good for the competitiveness of the sport, but of course it makes Smart’s job more difficult. Not only is there increased competition to recruit the fewer game-ready players, there’s also a greater risk of players transferring out after putting in the work to build depth.

The “good” news, as Smart points out, is that everyone is facing this challenge – some more than others. “It’s not as much quality depth that I’m used to, but we probably have more than a lot of people.” Advantage is always relative, and Georgia’s roster is still in good relative shape even as the nature of player development evolves throughout the sport.

Seth Emerson raises an issue that might snap into focus later in the season. The road to the SEC championship hasn’t just changed; it’s not even possible to define. In the past the goal was easy to define: win the division. A team played everyone else in its division, so each team had a considerable amount of control in its place in the divisional standings. With a fairly straightforward road through the SEC East over the past few years, Georgia’s seasons could be framed almost from the outset as preparation for the eventual postseason challenges. But divisions are gone, and that has implications for how each team must navigate the regular season. Now the SEC championship game will match the two teams out of 16 with the best conference records. Each of those 16 teams will have a unique set of eight SEC opponents. That eight-game SEC schedule ensures each team will only see a little over half of the rest of the conference.

As Emerson notes, that structure opens the door for some chaos in everything from determining the title game participants to which SEC teams might get a playoff invitation. Enough has been said about Georgia’s difficult schedule, but there’s enough variance in who-plays-whom for a number of teams to envision a path to Atlanta if there aren’t a pair of 8-0 juggernauts sitting atop the standings. The tidy seven-team round-robin division schedule often provided enough head-to-head tiebreakers to sort things out on each side of the conference, but there will be fewer head-to-head matchups in a larger pool of 16 teams. Emerson illustrates how murky things could get. “You may notice that neither LSU nor Missouri has to play Georgia or Texas. In fact, a number of the projected top teams don’t play each other. Alabama and Texas don’t play. Neither do Ole Miss and Texas or Alabama and Ole Miss.” Georgia will have no question about the postseason if the Bulldogs survive their difficult schedule with an 8-0 conference record. But at 7-1?

The nervous-laughter part of this is that the actual tiebreaker structure is still largely a work in progress. It’s reasonable that head-to-head will remain atop the list, but we’ll have fewer of those scenarios. After that? The season might get underway with that question unanswered. And while the eventual system will have its critics and backers, it’s not a great idea to start playing without knowing the rules. If nothing else, dragging it out opens the door to gripes about favoring certain outcomes.

UPDATE: We have a tiebreaker format! The SEC announced the procedures on August 21st. Nothing too controversial if you’ve ever paid attention to a tiebreaking process for one of the SEC’s other sports like basketball. Key point: it’s a big advantage (as it should be) to knock off a team high in the standings. It’s also interesting that scoring margin will matter if things get too far into the weeds.

One other angle Emerson raises: the CFP doesn’t care how the SEC breaks its ties. The SEC runner-up isn’t guaranteed a spot in the playoff and might not even be the second or third-best team in the league in the eyes of the playoff committee and its metrics. Just because the mechanics of a tiebreaker place a certain team atop a group with identical records, the committee doesn’t have to accept that ordering. In that event, an additional loss in the title game might push the SEC runner-up out of the playoff if it entered the postseason tied with one or two other teams.

But college football has never produced that kind of chaos before, right?

Another postseason change that won’t matter until it does: we know the first round of the CFP will be hosted by teams seeded 5-8. What I haven’t seen though is much discussion of the details. For the teams, it’s enough to say it’s a home game in their own stadiums. How about for the fans? Will each school decide its own ticketing policy? Would a school like Georgia ticket the event like another home game with season ticket holders having first shot at “their” seats? Would there be a full student section? Or would the CFP have some say in a share of tickets for visiting fans, its sponsors, or even the general public? I’m sure I’m overthinking things here, but it would be quite a shock for a fan excited about attending a home CFP game to be thrown back into the priority system used for any other postseason game. Again – it would be nice to have clarity and know the rules before we get to that point.

Driven largely by the Caitlin Clark phenomenon, women’s college basketball drew unprecedented attention and interest over the past several months. Clark’s historic offensive output that led Iowa to consecutive national title games was the lead story, but there’s been much more that made this a compelling season. South Carolina’s undefeated run to the championship with a young and rebuilt roster was one of the more impressive team accomplishments you’ll see, and they needed needed a thrilling buzzer-beater in the SEC Tournament to preserve their perfect season. LSU brought the drama to their chase of back-to-back titles. The Pac 12 and Big 12 produced some of the best teams in the nation, and they’ll be heading for new conferences next season. Freshmen established themselves as the next wave of stars from coast to coast. High-profile transfers made and broke contenders. Women’s basketball, and women’s college basketball in particular, is at a peak.

This explosion of popularity builds on a legacy that goes back over 40 years to the first women’s NCAA Tournament in 1982 (and much further to the true pioneers of the game.) Georgia of course features heavily into that history. The Lady Dogs became a national power early in the NCAA Tournament era. They had a resurgence in the 1990s that saw them enter the new century as SEC champions and remain a regular Sweet Sixteen participant for the next decade. The program’s all-time great players are still familiar names among those with a knowledge of the game. Few schools can boast more WNBA draft picks than Georgia’s 24.

We see elite programs rise and fall in all sports, and it’s unfortunate bad timing that the rising profile of women’s basketball comes as the Georgia program is struggling through a relative lull. Georgia just experienced its first sub-.500 season as an NCAA program, and the 13th-place finish in the SEC was also unprecedented. This wasn’t a sudden drop-off; Georgia’s decline followed a much more gradual path. Georgia participated in 31 of the first 33 NCAA Tournaments. They’ve only played in five of the past ten, and none of those teams reached the Sweet 16. I’ve had plenty to say about the state of the program even before this year’s result, but it’s enough to say that it’s been a battle to maintain and return to the standard set by its first three decades as an NCAA program.

The urgency to return to the upper echelon of programs is greater now with the surge of interest in the sport. What is Georgia’s place in a sport whose popularity is taking off? Will they be left behind with a serious case of FOMO, or is there hope of catching up and joining the party?

The Neighborhood

A deep and cutthroat SEC schedule is nothing new. The league goes to another level in 2025 and will be unforgiving of any team unable to keep up. Consider:

• South Carolina returns depth at nearly every position from its undefeated national title campaign. Dynamic young players like MiLaysia Fulwiley, Ashlyn Watkins, and Tessa Johnson are poised to take over, and the Gamecocks welcome three top 30 freshmen.
• LSU and Ole Miss will remain talented and well-coached contenders.
• Impact transfers will continue to flow into the league while several veterans chose to return for a fifth season.
• Auburn, Alabama, and Vanderbilt returned to the NCAA Tournament and have shaken up the middle of the conference standings.
• Kentucky hired Kenny Brooks who built Virginia Tech into a regular NCAA Tournament team and reached the Final Four last season. Brooks will bring All-American guard Georgia Amoore with him.
• Finally, and most importantly, Texas and Oklahoma will join the league. We took a brief look at what that meant a couple of years ago, and the outlook hasn’t changed. Vic Schaefer turned Texas into a national contender and earned a 1-seed in the 2024 NCAA Tournament. He returns to the SEC where he took Mississippi State to consecutive national title games. In three seasons at Oklahoma, Jennie Baranczyk restored the Sooners as a top 25 program and even edged out Texas in 2024 for the Big 12 regular season title. These programs will immediately challenge for top four positions in the expanded SEC.

To sum up, earning a top four place and double-bye in the SEC will require getting through the past two national champions, an NCAA 1-seed, and the reigning Big 12 champion. That doesn’t even take into account a steady successful program like Ole Miss or rising mid-table programs like Vanderbilt, Auburn, and Alabama. Eight-time national champion Tennessee is going through their own transition but sent a message about their expectations with their coaching change. Finishing in the top half, let alone the top four, of the new SEC will require a team that can consistently beat – and not just show competitiveness against – tournament-quality opponents.

The Roster

Joni Taylor finally began to show some progress in recruiting during her sixth and seventh seasons at Georgia, but those classes fell apart when she left the program. Promising freshmen signed by Taylor transferred after 2022, and all reached the NCAA Tournament in 2024. (Reigan Richardson even became a brief sensation in March during Duke’s NCAA Tournament run.) Taylor’s final class, rated #7 in the nation, followed her to Texas A&M.

A core of upperclassmen remained at Georgia during the transition. Forward Javyn Nicholson headlined the group and developed under Coach Abe into an all-conference player by her final season. The others also saw improvement, but their production wasn’t enough to fill the gap. Excepting Nicholson, the remaining players scored 16.6 points per game in 2023 and, after senior Zoesha Smith went down early in the season with a knee injury, contributed 8.7 points per game in 2024. Coach Abe had a lot of holes to fill on her first roster. Her response mirrored Taylor’s: the bulk of UCF’s top 20 recruiting class followed Abe to Georgia, and she was also able to bring several experienced UCF players familiar with her system. Diamond Battles, Alisha Lewis, and Brittney Smith were key players to help bridge the transition. By the end of Abe’s first season this cobbled-together roster began to mesh, and Georgia finished the season on a strong run into the NCAA Tournament.

The real impact of the roster situation began to show up in year two. Abe’s UCF pipeline had largely dried up. Only one true freshman was signed, and she redshirted. Transfers once again helped but with diminished returns. Fewer players on the roster had more than a year’s experience in Abe’s system, and the outcome was a less-effective defense with few scorers capable of complementing Nicholson.

Coach Abe has had two seasons now to get the lay of the land in the SEC and understand the level of talent it takes to succeed in the league. Abe and her staff aren’t used to losing, and last season’s frustration was hard to hide at times. She now has the responsibility of rebuilding a roster that was not up to SEC – or Georgia – standards. Recruiting matters, and four top 100 prospects will join the team along with another top 100 prospect who redshirted this season. But teams are also making immediate upgrades to their rosters via transfers, and Georgia must have better results among that talent pool to avoid a prolonged rebuilding project.

Ultimately the potential of the program won’t be unlocked until Georgia reverses its fortunes with the deep talent available in its own state. Georgians feature on rosters from South Carolina to LSU to Stanford to Ohio State and across the SEC. Of course the Lady Dogs have signed quality local talent, Que Morrison and Javyn Nicholson being recent examples, but elite talent has been tougher to keep at home. Since 2005, Anne Marie Armstrong is the only Georgia Gatorade Player of the Year to begin her college career at Georgia.

Turning things around in the state has been off to a slow start. The new Georgia staff arrived without much of a presence in Georgia. Abe’s last four rosters at UCF had one player from the state of Georgia. When a top in-state prospect like Essence Cody (now at Alabama) gets her first offer before her sophomore year of high school, it demonstrates that the relationships that lead to commitments are cultivated over years. Abe’s staff, even if they do everything correctly, is playing catch-up for in-state prospects. To complicate things, Abe hasn’t been able to hold a summer camp yet at Georgia. The first few months after Abe was hired in 2022 were spent getting a program up and running. Last summer Stegeman Coliseum was unavailable due to interior construction on the roof. Camps in 2021 and 2020 were affected by the pandemic. It’s tough to establish connections with the young players around the state if you can’t get them on campus. That will begin to change in 2024.

A sub-par roster is exposed quickly in the SEC. Even teams with above-average talent and legitimate NCAA Tournament credentials can find it hard to compete at the top of the conference without elite players. Those players, for whatever reasons, haven’t chosen Georgia for some time. Reversing that situation for both prep prospects and transfers isn’t easy, but that’s the story of Georgia basketball over the past 15 years.

Still more…

So if the strength of the conference and the headwinds in recruiting weren’t enough, what else is Abe dealing with?

• NIL. There’s no escaping the influence of NIL for any college sport. If you watched the women’s tournament, you saw several players featured in national ads, and that’s tremendous. NIL has also given some athletes the flexibility to remain in school for another year, and that’s been a boon to those sports. But aside from those endorsements we’re also talking about the NIL collectives of the individual schools and the murkier realm of bidding for players. Every school deals with it, but keep one thing in mind: not only is Georgia women’s basketball competing against its peers in the NIL space; it’s also competing against a successful football program with its own voracious appetite for NIL contributions. Fans willing to support women’s basketball are also under pressure to support Kirby Smart’s loaded roster, and those fans can only be stretched so far. The women’s basketball program encouraged its fans to donate earmarked dollars to NIL rather than to the disbanded semi-independent booster club.
• Long-term vs. short-term development. Watching a player like Diamond Battles who developed over the course of a career was a treat. Experienced players whose execution of a coach’s system becomes second-nature are the foundation of successful teams. Javyn Nicholson, in just two seasons under Abe, blossomed into one of the SEC’s best players. There’s little question about Abe’s ability to develop players or that her system can work at the highest level in the sport. But in the age of the transfer portal, can you depend on players sticking it out through the full development cycle before your system bears fruit? And with the competition able to change dramatically from year to year via transfers, does a coach have the luxury of patiently developing an experienced roster before showing progress?
• Contributions from newcomers. Along those lines, freshmen have had little to no impact on the program in Abe’s first two seasons. It’s not that she is recruiting stiffs. UCF’s 2022 class that followed Abe to Georgia was rated 21st – very respectable for a mid-major program. Last season’s lone signee, Miyah Verse, was a top-100 prospect. It’s entirely reasonable that Abe would prefer players with more experience in her system. That experience will be thin next season, and Georgia will bring in another good class of four top-100 prospects. Impact freshmen were all over the women’s college basketball scene this season from Southern Cal to Notre Dame to South Carolina. Georgia might not have the next JuJu Watkins or Hannah Hidalgo, but Georgia and Abe’s success over the next one or two seasons will depend on getting more immediate production from newcomers whether they be freshmen or transfers.

It seems like a daunting task to get Georgia women’s basketball in a position to be lifted by the sport’s current rising tide, and it is. At the same time, basketball is a sport where one or two elite pieces can be added to a solid foundation and take a program to national prominence. The payoffs for getting it right are growing both in the abstract sense (media and fan attention) and the literal sense (endorsements and NIL deals for players and big contracts for coaches) – both of which can help sustain a top-level program. The risk is falling into a losing cycle of coaching changes and the inability to reap the rewards of winning that attract top prospects. It’s a pivotal moment for the sport and increasingly so for Georgia’s future in it.

With the last two national champions earning the top seeds in this week’s SEC Women’s Basketball Tournament, it’s tempting to look ahead to a possible South Carolina-LSU meeting in Sunday’s final. The two teams met in a classic slugfest in front of a frenzied sold-out crowd in Baton Rouge. The Gamecocks played from behind for most of the game but made the big plays down the stretch to emerge with the win and reassert their status as the SEC’s team to beat. LSU shook off a midseason slump and head into the tournament playing well with eight straight double-digit wins. Tennessee’s upset of LSU in last year’s semifinal reminds us that real life doesn’t follow a script, and there’s a ton of basketball to play before the finals. The top two seeds haven’t met on Sunday since 2020.

While the anticipation of a South Carolina-LSU rematch will consume most of the oxygen in Greenville, there’s another storyline that will play out in the earlier rounds. According to ESPN’s bracketology, as many as five SEC teams are perched precariously on the edge of the NCAA bubble. Auburn, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, and Arkansas head to Greenville knowing that their performances on Thursday and Friday might make the difference in their postseason fates. Their levels of desperation vary, but none of them will sleep easy with a loss on Thursday. Arkansas and A&M might need two wins to play themselves back on to the favorable side of the bubble.

The tournament remains a microcosm of the larger college sports world. Several teams are led by experienced veterans extending their careers via COVID-era policies. (“She’s still there?!?!”) The effects of the transfer portal and NIL will be on full display; nearly every team had their roster reshaped dramatically since last season. Several teams have flourished with transfers and fifth-year seniors, but others have had less success keeping up and have dropped in the standings. Perhaps because of this roster turnover we’ve seen more mobility up and down the standings than in previous seasons. Alabama, Vanderbilt, and Auburn enjoyed their best seasons in years at the expense of teams like Georgia, Kentucky, and Missouri who are used to greater success.

Georgia’s Path Through the Tournament:
Wednesday: vs. Kentucky 11:00 am ET SEC Network
Thursday / Second Round: vs. Tennessee ~2:30 pm ET SEC Network
Friday / Quarterfinals: vs. Alabama ~2:30 pm ET SEC Network
Saturday / Semifinals: 4:30 pm ET ESPNU
Sunday / Finals: 3:00 pm ET ESPN
Complete Bracket Here

The Field
(LY: last year’s finish, PS: coaches preseason projection)

1) South Carolina (16-0, 29-0) (LY-1, PS-2): Dawn Staley had a problem. The 2023 Gamecocks rolled through the season and SEC Tournament without a blemish, but the tiniest weakness was apparent. The Gamecocks shot just 31% from outside, and that number had dipped well below 30% in several close calls. That weakness finally bit them in the national semifinal when they shot 20% on 20 three-point attempts in a shocking loss to Iowa and their sharpshooter Caitlin Clark.

Staley already had the nation’s #2 signing class lined up to replace the departing legends Boston, Cooke, and Beal. But to address her biggest need she dipped into the transfer portal. Te-Hina Paopao had already made a name for herself at Oregon with multiple All-Pac 12 honors in three seasons. At South Carolina she’s become exactly when Staley needed: the nation’s most accurate three-point shooter. Paopao doesn’t put up Clark-like numbers. South Carolina has more than enough talent to distribute the scoring load; the Gamecocks have seven players averaging between 8.5 and 14 PPG. Paopao’s consistency and the improvement of Bree Hall gives the Gamecocks a more well-rounded offense in 2024 and creates difficult decisions for defenses: how much attention can you pay the 6’7″ Kamilla Cardoso inside if the team is now shooting over 40% from outside?

South Carolina’s distributed attack has allowed them to mix veterans like Cardoso and Paopao with younger players stepping into larger roles. Chloe Kitts joined the team midseason last year and contributed off the bench, and she’s grown into a starting role bringing length and range to the frontcourt. Ashlyn Watkins has also doubled her minutes and points in her second season while adding a physical presence inside with the athleticism to get to the rim. Cardoso of course is the team’s leading rebounder and shot blocker, but Watkins isn’t far behind. RSo. Raven Johnson is the steady point guard Staley needs with nearly 5 assists and 2 steals per game and a 2.8 assists/turnover ratio. Freshman guard MiLaysia Fulwiley has been a firecracker off the bench: she can hit from outside or attack the basket and get to the line.

So with improved perimeter offense, is there a weakness? Staley has done a magnificent job of continuity with a new starting lineup and integrating new players in key roles. You’d have expected that inexperience to bite them at some point, but now they’ve played together for an entire season. The only thing you can point to is a handful of slow starts and single-digit wins in which they’ve had to overcome deficits, but they’ve found a way each time and have earned experience and confidence with each challenge.

2) LSU (13-3, 26-4) (LY-2, PS-1): All hail the national champs! LSU discovered last season that winning the SEC is as challenging as winning the national title. Kim Mulkey didn’t need last season’s run to the crown to establish her national standing, but getting the Tigers turned around and on top in two seasons would have been a remarkable job by anyone. The title also made players like Angel Reese and Flau’jae Johnson household names, and the program’s high profile made it an attractive transfer destination. That mattered as Mulkey had to replace significant production from her championship team. She was able to attract sharpshooter Hailey Van Lith from Louisville and rebounding machine Aneesah Morrow from DePaul to build a formidable and deep lineup capable of challenging for a repeat.

Of course the repeat attempt couldn’t come without drama. The Tigers lost their season opener against a good Colorado team. Reese was suspended for a stretch, and Kateri Poole left the team. They’ve had enough depth and talent to overcome those distractions as well as the loss of forward Sa’Myah Smith to a season-ending injury. The Tigers lead the SEC in scoring offense and can put teams away with quick scoring runs. They defend and rebound well at every position and look to get out in transition for easy baskets. All five starters average in double-figures, and Aalyah Del Rosario and Last-Tear Poa provide key minutes off the bench. They are near the top of the SEC in rebounding margin, offensive rebounds, free throw attempts, and turnovers created. Those all lead to a lopsided advantage in possession that fuels their offense.

It’s true that South Carolina seems to be the one remaining obstacle for Mulkey, but last season’s loss to Tennessee is a cautionary reminder to take care of business en route to a championship showdown. The Tigers have been dominant at home with only a close loss to the Gamecocks tarnishing an otherwise perfect record in Baton Rouge. But the Tigers have slipped up a couple of times away from home. Auburn and Mississippi State were able to score with the Tigers and do just enough on defense to keep LSU in the 60s and 70s. Foul trouble, especially for Reese, can be an issue. LSU typically only plays 7 or 8, and an extended period of time on the bench for a starter can be disruptive. Those issues have been few and far between lately, and the Tigers head into the tournament on a roll.

3) Ole Miss (12-4, 22-7) (LY-4, PS-4): Progress! After two straight fourth-place finishes, Ole Miss inches up to the 3-seed. With three straight years in the top four, there’s no denying what Yolett McPhee-McCuin has built in Oxford. The Rebels gained national attention last season with an upset of Stanford in the NCAA tournament. This is a confident team that certainly continues to reflect its coach’s toughness and energy, but there’s more to it than that. Coach Yo has developed veterans Madison Scott and Snudda Collins and augmented the roster with seven current or former transfers. The result is a well-rounded squad that can attack multiple ways against a variety of styles. This is still a team that does its best work inside the arc. They’re dead last in the SEC making three-pointers at a 26% clip. Smartly and self-aware, they also attempt fewer three-pointers than anyone else. This is a dribble-drive team that can hit mid-range jumpshots and crash the boards. Only LSU and South Carolina rebound better. Marquesha Davis (Arkansas) was an impact transfer a year ago, and Kennedy Todd-Williams (UNC) has joined the backcourt this year to become a dynamic scoring duo. Collins provides the best outside threat of a group that collectively shoots under 30% but can occasionally have a big night. Scott’s length and presence inside is helped by center Rita Igbokwe and forward Tyia Singleton.

Ole Miss lost two straight early in February and survived back-to-back overtime games to get back on a roll. They enter the tournament red hot winning their last four games by an average 29-point margin, and each of those four opponents was held to no more than 51 points. That Stanford win a year ago earned Coach Yo and her program some national notice, but the task now is to break through against the SEC’s two dominant programs. They were unable to stay close to LSU or South Carolina during the regular season. Their next opportunity might be a semifinal clash with the Tigers on Saturday.

4) Alabama (10-6, 23-8) (LY-6, PS-8): The Tide are the first of our overachievers in the field. Picked to slide a little after a sixth-place finish in 2023, Alabama instead moved up in the standings to their first top four finish since the 1990s. There are a couple of reasons for this pleasant surprise, but the emergence of Sarah Ashlee Barker has to be at the top of the list. Barker made the transition from role player to leading lady as a senior, and she’s now one of the few SEC players who can reliably take control of a game and carry her team. In roughly the same number of minutes she’s nearly doubled her shot attempts, three-point attempts, and free throw attempts while improving her percentages on all three. Her production has helped the team thrive despite losing the output of Brittany Davis. Aaliyah Nye was already known as a top outside scorer in the league, and she’s also increased her production this season while shooting better than 40% from beyond the arc. Jessica Timmons and Loyal McQueen have allowed Kristy Curry to stick with the four-guard approach that’s been successful for her in recent seasons. Freshman post Essence Cody has been one of the top newcomers and gives the Tide the scoring, rebounding, and defensive presence they need in the paint. Alabama hasn’t managed to break through against the top three teams in the league, but a decisive win over Tennessee is a feather in their cap. Alabama notched wins against Vanderbilt, Auburn, and Mississippi State to create some separation from a crowded pack.

5) Tennessee (10-6, 17-11) (LY-3, PS-3): Last season the Lady Vols had their best SEC finish in eight seasons and reached the tournament finals with a semifinal upset of LSU. It’s been a tough task building on that success. Rickea Jackson returns as an elite scorer and matchup nightmare for opponents. The Lady Vols welcomed back Tamari Key from a scary season-long absence battling blood clots in her lungs. Key is the program’s all-time leading shotblocker and a capable scorer inside, but her minutes have been limited. Tennessee still has good size at most positions, and they continue to rebound well. The difference might be the absence of elite guards on both ends of the court. They miss Jordan Horston. Wake Forest transfer Jewel Spear (12.8 PPG) leads the guards and is the team’s top outside shooter at 35%. There are a handful of players averaging between four and nine points per game, and the results add up to a scoring offense that’s in the top half of the SEC but well off the pace of South Carolina and LSU. The Lady Vols struggled through a typically challenging nonconference slate, but they raced out to a 7-2 start in SEC play. They’ve dropped four of their last seven games including three losses to South Carolina and LSU, and a loss to Alabama was the tiebreaker that dropped Tennessee out of the top four. They’ll likely get a chance to avenge that loss in the quarterfinals, and they’ll need much better guard play in that rematch to have another shot at a consecutive semifinal shocker.

6) Vanderbilt (9-7, 22-8) (LY-12, PS-13): It’s been a long time coming. Shea Ralph’s third season proved to be breakthrough that elevated the Commodores out of the bottom four, and they vaulted all the way to a sixth place finish. With 22 wins overall and a winning record in the conference, the Commodores have the profile of an NCAA Tournament team for the first time in a decade. They won’t feel comfortable about their position though unless they can get past the Florida/Missouri winner on Thursday. Vanderbilt is led by a pair of guards who missed last season due to injury. Iyana Moore is gaining confidence as a playmaker and scorer. Jordyn Cambridge can score but is also the team’s assists leader and one of the best defenders in the SEC. Sacha Washington is undersized but tough inside, and freshman forward Khamil Pierre has added another piece in the paint. Tennessee transfer Justine Pissott has emerged as an outside threat, and Jordyn Oliver can bring some pop off the bench. Size has been an issue against the teams above them in the standings, but they have the firepower to handle lower seeds. Vanderbilt started the season on fire with a 17-2 record, but a five-game losing streak in SEC play brought them back down to earth. They’ve recovered to win five of their last six to salvage their postseason hopes.

7) Auburn (8-8, 19-10) (LY-10, PS-12): Steady progress continues under Johnnie Harris. Losing leading scorer Aicha Coulibaly to Texas A&M was a blow, but Auburn has responded impressively with a team effort. Honesty Scott-Grayson returns as one of the league’s top scorers, and she’s helped by Alabama transfer JaMya Mingo-Young. Many teams preach defense, but few create the consistent havoc Auburn does. The Tigers lead the SEC in turnover margin, causing nearly 21 per game. The guards do a good job with perimeter defense – opponents only shoot 27% from outside. Harris has gradually built a decent supporting cast. Scott-Grayson gets over 18 PPG, but six players contribute between 5 and 9 PPG. Forward Taylen Collins has been an important addition from Oklahoma State to help absorb some of the rebounding load Coulibaly provided, and freshman center Savannah Scott is holding her own. The Tigers got off to an 0-3 start in SEC play but shocked the conference with a home upset of LSU. They finished the season winning five of seven with a pair of respectable losses at Alabama and LSU. If the Tigers get to the quarterfinals, a rubber game against LSU will be one of the day’s most-anticipated matchups. Harris and her team won’t be scared.

8) Mississippi State (8-8, 21-10) (LY-3, PS-3): It looked in early February as if the Bulldogs were ready to challenge for a top four seed, but a late season slump dropped them into the middle of the pack. Momentum was high for Sam Purcell’s team after making a surprising run into the NCAA round of 32 last year before coming up just short against Notre Dame. The return of standout center Jessika Carter and scorer JerKaila Jordan was bolstered by transfers Erynn Barnum from Arkansas and Lauren Park-Lane from Seton Hall. Sophomore Debresha Powe has built on her SEC All-Freshman debut and remains a steady scorer. The Bulldogs are near average in most defensive stats, and they don’t rely on transition to create offense; they’re just a solid halfcourt team. That reliance on the halfcourt offense has led to some inconsistency, but when it’s on it’s on. The Bulldogs got 24 points from Jordan and a combined 31 off the bench from Mjracle Sheppard and Darrione Rogers in a home win over LSU. They’ll need that kind of guard play to complement Carter in order to advance in Greenville. A win over Missouri in the regular season finale snapped a five-game skid, but that losing streak likely makes their opening game against Texas A&M a play-in game for the NCAA tournament.

9) Texas A&M (6-10, 18-11) (LY-13, PS-6): The Aggies showed brief signs of life at the end of the 2023 season with a over Kentucky at the end of the regular season and then two upset wins in Greenville to reach the quarterfinals. That momentum continued into this season as A&M jumped out to a 12-1 record in nonconference play. They’ve struggled to maintain consistency in league play. An upset loss at Georgia to open the SEC season got them off on the wrong foot, and they haven’t been able to string together more than two consecutive conference wins. Wins over Tennessee and Ole Miss show what the Aggies are capable of, but losses to Georgia and Florida are head-scratchers. Losing five of their last six regular season games leaves the Aggies needing some more magic in Greenville to salvage an NCAA bid. The Aggies’ downturn has a lot to do with the loss of leading scorer Endyia Rogers. The Oregon transfer injured her knee against Kentucky and has been sidelined since. Her status for the tournament is uncertain, and the Aggies are scoring just 59 PPG without her. Auburn transfer Aicha Coulibaly and sophomore standout Janiah Barker shoulder most of the load with Lauren Ware providing scoring and rebounding inside.

10) Arkansas (6-10, 18-13) (LY-8, PS-7): The Razorbacks can’t seem to get over the hump. Since a sixth-place finish in 2021, the Razorbacks have finished no higher than eighth. Two factors help explain their issues. The first is a repeat of what we wrote last year: the identity of the Mike Neighbors offense hasn’t changed – Arkansas attempts (and makes) more three-pointers than anyone in the conference. A decline in efficiency remains the problem. Arkansas is shooting just over 30% from outside. Familiar names Samara Spencer and Makayla Daniels lead the attack at guard. Freshman Taliah Scott has been magnificent and leads the team in scoring with 22 PPG but has missed a handful of games and hasn’t played since mid-February. The other issue is frontcourt depth. Jersey Wolfenbarger and Erynn Barnum left the program. Maryam Dauda averages nearly 10 points and 7 rebounds, but that’s not enough to keep up with the better frontcourts in the SEC. Wing Saylor Poffenbarger actually leads the team in rebounds. The result is a rebounding margin that’s last in the SEC.

11) Florida (5-11, 14-14) (LY-11, PS-10): A second-straight 11th-place finish has taken some of the steam out of Kelly Rae Finley’s impressive debut as an interim coach two seasons ago. The Gators have plenty of firepower; only LSU and South Carolina score more. But the Gators are near the bottom of the league in scoring defense and rebounding. Florida pushes the tempo, and they thrive on running out in transition. Their frenetic pace causes opponents to turn the ball over nearly 18 times per game, but Florida can also get out ahead of themselves and contribute their own turnovers. They’ve been able to play spoiler against Mississippi State and Texas A&M but weren’t able to string together enough wins to escape the bottom four. Potent scorers Aliyah Matharu and Leilani Correa key the guard-driven attack. Faith Dut is an experienced post player, but an injury to Ra Shaya Kyle left Florida thin inside. Florida’s pace might be a bit much for Missouri on Wednesday, and they played Vanderbilt closely earlier in the year.

12) Kentucky (4-12, 11-19) (LY-14, PS-14): It’s a small consolation that Kentucky improved on 2023’s last-place finish. There hasn’t been much else to cheer about. Ajae Petty provided frontcourt depth last season after transferring from LSU, and she’s elevated her play this year to average over 14 points and 10 rebounds a game. The Wildcats are largely guard-driven: five guards combine for around 46 PPG with Maddie Scherr leading the group. Overall though scoring has been tough to come by, and they are last in the SEC in points allowed and close to the bottom in rebounding. Any of the guards can get hot on a given night: Eniya Russell went for 24 in a win over Florida, Saniah Tyler scored 22 in an upset of Mississippi State, and Scherr has had multiple 20-point games. They’ll need one of those performances plus the usual output from Petty to avoid a short stay.

13) Georgia (3-13, 12-17) (LY-7, PS-9): Let’s get it out of the way: this is unfamiliar territory for Georgia. The Lady Dogs have never played in a Wednesday play-in game, and this will be the first team in program history to finish with a losing record unless they make an improbable run through the SEC and NCAA tournaments. Coach Katie Abrahamson-Henderson pieced together a roster last season with a handful of players that remained at Georgia through the coaching transition and an impactful group of transfers that included some of her key contributors at UCF. That group found its stride and made it to the second round of the NCAA tournament, nearly knocking off Iowa on their own court. Abe’s second season has been much more challenging as she rebuilds a roster that was depleted after the coaching transition. Three experienced seniors remained from the original transition (a fourth was lost early this season with a knee injury), and Abe again had to turn to transfers with much less experience in her system.

The biggest difference has been the effectiveness of the defense. Georgia went from a +3.4 turnover margin in 2023 (among the best in the league) to a -1.4 disadvantage in 2024. The offense is turning the ball over at a similar rate, but the defense is creating five fewer turnovers per game this year (19.9 vs. 14.8.) The 2023 defense averaged 10.5 steals per game, and that’s down to 7.8 this season. That decline has implications on both ends of the court: the opponent’s possession is more likely to end with a shot attempt rather than a turnover, and Georgia’s struggling offense has fewer transition opportunities to run out for easier baskets. Personnel matters. Diamond Battles and Alisha Lewis were experienced guards in this system and were among the SEC’s steals leaders, and Zoesha Smith’s length caused problems at the top of the zone. Georgia hasn’t been able to replace that defensive productivity.

Javyn Nicholson built on a strong 2023 season and has become one of the top frontcourt players in the SEC with 16.6 PPG and 8.9 RPG. She’s scored in double figures in all but one game this season and has 15 double-doubles on the year. It’s no coincidence that Nicholson has played a large role in Georgia’s SEC wins: she’s averaged 23 points and 11.7 rebounds in those three games. Opponents of course understand Nicholson’s importance, and so she’s often the focus of double-teams and compact zones that compress the space available in the paint. Georgia often hasn’t been able to find consistent complements that counter the defensive focus on Nicholson. The Lady Dogs are in the bottom three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and free throw attempts. De’Mauri Flournoy has taken a step forward in her second season and has become the team’s most prolific outside threat. Flournoy can set up for a three-point shot or create off the dribble for a mid-range jumper. San Diego State transfer Asia Avinger has had the difficult task of replacing Battles as the point guard and is the relentless presence on the court Abe wants at that position.

Georgia didn’t go on the late-season run of a year ago, but it wasn’t hard to see improvement – particularly on the offensive end. But this is still a team that needs to keep the score down in the 50s or 60s to have a chance. Unproductive single-digit quarters and slow starts have been the undoing of the Lady Dogs in many games, forcing Georgia to play from behind. To advance into the second round and have a shot at an upset, they’ll need another big performance from Nicholson, some timely guard play, and a locked-in defensive effort.

14) Missouri (2-14, 11-18) (LY-9, PS-11): The Hayley Frank farewell tour hasn’t gone as expected. They were 2-3 in the league after a pair of wins over Vanderbilt and Georgia, but they’ve dropped 11 straight to end the season. Frank, in her fifth season, has been as reliable as ever getting 16.7 PPG and 6.3 RPG. The team shoots often and well from outside – no surprise for Missouri. Frenetic guard Mama Dembele is an x-factor who can frustrate opponents on both ends of the court with her speed. They lack depth and presence inside. Frank, as a stretch forward, and guard Ashton Judd lead the team in rebounds, but the diminutive Dembele is third. Rebounding, as well as offense in the paint, is a committee effort. They utilize frequent cuts and motion to create lanes to the basket and open shots for their guards. It works well enough to be a middle-of-the-pack offense, but they struggle turning the ball over and creating turnovers on defense.

Over the weekend we learned that Michael Brochstein, better known by the pseudonym “Senator Blutarsky” and author of the Get the Picture blog, passed away. The online Bulldog community lost an irreplaceable and unparalleled resource, and Georgia lost a devoted fan and partisan.

“It was the first site I checked every morning.”

I was at the women’s basketball game Sunday chatting about the game with the husband from a nice couple in front of us. His phone had the Get the Picture site pulled up on it, and he asked if I was familiar with it. After I responded that I knew it well and had heard the news, he said that it was the first site he checked every morning. I’ve seen that sentiment from several people as the news spread across the Bulldog Nation. No matter if it was during the hectic middle of the season or in the slow offseason, there was almost always something interesting, topical, and often thought-provoking waiting at Get the Picture. If there was an issue of the day that really mattered, you could count on Brochstein to wade through the glut of information, elevate the key voices, and provide his own perspective.

A few have even invoked the name of Larry Munson as they processed the news. It’s not just because the site was named after an iconic Munson phrase. Fans revered Munson because he saw games they way they did. They tuned in to go through every agonizing heartbreak or outburst of exhilaration together, knowing that Munson would put just the right flourish on the moment.

In that way I can see why some felt a similar sense of loss. If something big, good or bad, happened in a game, you wanted to know how Munson called it. If there was something in the news about Georgia football over the past 15 years, it was a good policy to first check what Blutarsky had to say about it. His prolific output made it a safe bet that he’d have something to say, but it went further than that. If Munson expressed the range of emotions we went through during individual games, Blutarsky was a must-read because the love of the sport and respect for its traditions so evident in his writing resonated deeply with us.

That doesn’t mean that he was resistant to change or turned a blind eye to the problems within the sport. His passion was more a sense of stewardship for the elements of college football that make it unique and special to us and a lack of patience with those who, in his view, were destroying the sport from within.

The unedited voice of a person

Running an individual blog almost seems like an anachronism these days. It’s easier to broadcast a quick message on social media, and you’re likely to get more reach. Even longer-form writing is favoring siloed platforms like Medium or Substack. Brochstein chose a blog in 2006 because that was the only real alternative – social media in its current form didn’t exist yet, and blog networks like SB Nation were still in their nascent phases. If you had something to say, you headed to a service like TypePad, Blogspot, or WordPress, picked a template, and started writing. The blog format – in its simplest definition as the unedited voice of a person – suited Brochstein. It didn’t take him long for his site to find its voice, and that voice was informed, clever, measured, witty, passionate, and clear.

The clarity of that voice allowed him to stake unmistakable and novel positions that resonated beyond the Bulldog fan base. National pundits paid attention to what he wrote, and he wasn’t afraid to push back against the highest-profile writers and broadcasters in the sport. They hear from the rabid fan bases of all programs, but we were fortunate to have someone with such a strong conviction and intelligent point of view to cut through the noise.

The best bloggers are curators. Brochstein’s original content was worth the visit, but most of his posts riffed on articles, columns, posts, and tweets from all corners of the college football world. He was generous with links, and through the blog you got a sense of the larger conversation around the key topics in the college football world. By amplifying voices from national pundits to anonymous tweeters he had a knack for exposing his readers to diverse, insightful, and sometimes even ridiculous viewpoints while his own comments made it clear where he stood.

On a personal note…

I can’t imagine how much effort went into the site. Even just the process of collecting links and adding a few words takes time, and having a few of those published nearly every day with the occasional longer-form observations posts took a discipline that I can’t comprehend. I’ve maintained this site off and on for almost 30 years writing when I’m able and motivated, and I know how much time just an individual post can take. I just have a tremendous amount of respect for anyone who is able to do it with that frequency, consistency, and of course quality.

His site is also a big reason why I’ve kept plugging away here. His posts were often excellent jumping-off points that got the wheels turning, and so many posts over here have built on or responded to posts of his. I’m also grateful and proud that he saw fit to read and share posts of mine over the years. That back-and-forth was energizing and something I looked forward to. Any post that caused me to think about things differently or challenged how I saw things kept this hobby fresh and enjoyable. And it wasn’t just his posts; the breadth of the content he shared through his blog opened our eyes to all kinds of viewpoints and issues that enriched our own experiences as fans.

I never met Michael, and I wish I had. We’ve corresponded, and we’ve bantered back and forth through our blogs. He shared so much of his fandom and love of pursuits like live music that we felt we knew him better than we did. I hope his grieving family finds some solace knowing that he and his project meant so much to so many. He will be missed and remembered.

To begin with: Saturday’s result wasn’t a referendum on the merits of FSU – or Georgia for that matter – for the College Football Playoff. Those cases were made over a season of 13 games and, for reasons debated elsewhere, were found lacking. All the Orange Bowl represented was a matchup of two teams at the end of December very different from what they were at the beginning of December. It was about how each team dealt with and adjusted to those differences.

Also: I struggle to see transfers and opt-outs as some sort of moral failing. I can’t imagine making weighty decisions at that age balancing preparation for the NFL Draft and the life-changing amounts involved with feelings of obligation and loyalty to my teammates. I also agree that the state of things isn’t a good look for the sport. Everyone has their pet solutions, but when it comes to bowl games and opt-outs the answer might simply be financial. Bowls pay out a good chunk of money, and those payouts often go into the pool of money distributed by the conferences. If it’s important to continue the bowl system outside of the playoff and to have rosters be as complete as possible, use the incentive that seems to drive every other decision in college athletics.

Finally: Georgia needn’t think twice about the lopsided outcome of the game. You play the team put in front of you, and how you choose to approach that challenge is up to you. We saw how Georgia’s players chose to put the disappointing Alabama loss behind them and regroup to end the season on a better note. In doing so they made a statement about the culture of the Georgia program.

What do we mean by a victory for the program’s culture? It’s easy to take that as a condescending results-oriented coping mechanism of a fan base full of itself. Take it instead as an appreciation, even in a season that fell short of the ultimate goal, of Kirby Smart’s vision for the program summed up in the summer of 2022: “we built a program to be sustained.” What does that look like?

Recruiting and roster management: The focus was on FSU’s high-profile opt-outs, but Kirby Smart had some personnel issues of his own. Between transfers and injuries Georgia was without well over 20 scholarship players. The biggest difference in the game was Georgia’s mature and fruitful recruiting operation versus Florida State’s emerging but fledgling operation. That’s not a knock on Mike Norvell – he’s rebuilding his program from a very low point just a few years ago. He’s beginning to have some success: the 12th-ranked recruiting class was FSU’s best result in years. But the four classes that proceeded it were ranked 26th, 20th, 27th, and 20th. That’s not horrible, and it’s certainly enough to outclass most ACC programs. But it’s not the profile of an elite CFP contender. FSU has had to supplement its roster with productive and impactful transfers: Jordan Travis, Keon Coleman, Jared Verse, and Jaheim Bell among others were home run additions who transformed the program. Norvell’s effective use of transfers allowed him to flip the Seminoles from 3-6 in 2020 and 5-7 in 2021 to 10-3 in 2022 and 13-1 this year.

Removing the veneer of the FSU transfers revealed a thin roster that wasn’t able to match up with Georgia’s reserves, let alone Georgia’s starters. Building quality depth is hard, hard work and something that comes over time with sustained effort in recruiting. There are no shortcuts. Even elite teams have their depth tested at the margins when facing their peers in the postseason: the slightest drop-off or inexperience at receiver or tackle or linebacker can make the difference in a competitive game. But these weren’t two similarly built teams. Georgia has had top five recruiting classes since 2017. Certainly that talent has been augmented with a handful of transfers, but Georgia’s broad foundation was built on Signing Day after Signing Day.

We saw that difference pay off repeatedly in the Orange Bowl. Brock Bowers sat out as expected. Oscar Delp had perhaps his finest game of the season, and Lawson Luckie and Pearce Spurlin played often and well. Dillon Bell wasn’t buried on the depth chart, but the absence of Rara Thomas and limited action for Ladd McConkey gave Bell an opportunity to step up into a larger role, and he made the most of it. Anthony Evans became more than just the guy with the nice punt return against Alabama. Georgia was without the inside linebackers that began the season, but CJ Allen continued his development into the next Georgia ILB standout. Daniel Harris had one foot in the transfer portal but did his job at cornerback. Kendall Milton was dominant early and then handed things over to Roderick Robinson. Georgia went with a familiar offensive line combination to start the game without Mims, but we soon saw Freeling and Fairchild. Of course Georgia’s starters set the stage and big plays by Beck, McConkey, Milton, Edwards, and the defense put the game out of reach. It didn’t take long though for Georgia’s massive depth advantage to assert itself. The reserves didn’t just hold ground; they continued the onslaught. While Stockton capably led the offense, Georgia’s young defensive backups held FSU to 24 second half yards.

Again, this isn’t a criticism of how Norvell built his program; FSU at full strength had the talent to win its first 13 games and finish out an undefeated regular season without its starting quarterback. He set his team up well to accomplish its goals, and he showed the year-over-year progress he needed to show. The next challenge for FSU is continuing to strike gold in the transfer portal while gradually building that team-wide depth through higher-rated signing classes. It’s not yet a program built to be sustained. On the other hand, the performance of Georgia’s reserves suggests that Georgia’s talent is holding up as another top-rated signing class heads to Athens.

Playing the long game: Even one-year transfers can assimilate into a program and even become leaders. Where would the 2016 season have been without Maurice Smith or the 2019 season without Lawrence Cager? There are potential downsides though to relying on multiple transfers. Jordan Travis was technically a transfer but played all but one of his six seasons at FSU. There was no questioning his leadership or the team’s identity with him at the helm. Other shorter-term transfers might not have developed the bond and sense of team that you see from a group that spent years building and reinforcing a program’s identity.

Kirby Smart uses the word “connection” as one of his core principles. The opportunity to send Georgia’s senior class out with 50 wins was identified early in bowl preparations, and the team seemed to rally around that significant milestone. They felt that those who had invested in turning the program into a multi-year champion deserved their teammates’ best effort. “Just playing for that will give us a purpose to play for, and we definitely have a spark,” said freshman offensive tackle Earnest Greene III. That connection from the freshmen on up to the seniors is what Smart is after and shows how the program’s culture is passed to the next group of leaders.

Consistency: It was mentioned during the broadcast that Georgia prepared for this game in the same way as the Ohio State playoff semifinal a year ago. “We’re in the same routine. We’ve tried to make it the same sense of urgency,” explained Smart during December. That shouldn’t be a surprise. We should know after 7 seasons that Smart doesn’t change his approach much from opponent to opponent. “We’re going to go up there, meet, do the same thing we were doing if we were playing in the Playoff. It’s a routine for us.” It was the same for the players. “We’re approaching it the same way as any other week,” Tykee Smith said.

That’s easier said than done; no coach or player is going to admit to giving a bowl game less than their full attention. When a program wins seven straight bowl and CFP games you listen a bit more closely about its preparation and approach to the postseason. The unpleasant memory of the 2019 Sugar Bowl loss stuck with Smart, and since then Georgia has ended the season with wins whether there was a title at stake or not.

Bowl preparation is also the first opportunity the staff has with the incoming class, and it’s also the first opportunity to imprint the culture on the next wave of players. With the majority of freshmen now enrolling early, their first exposure to the program in December sets the standard of what’s expected over the next nine months as they prepare to contribute to Georgia’s sustained success. Inconsistencies in bowl preparation wouldn’t just send the wrong message to the newcomers and interrupt the connection between newcomers and returning players; it would also require valuable time in spring practice to reestablish standards and expectations.

Georgia’s game-to-game consistency in preparation doesn’t guarantee results – the same process that led to a blowout of FSU had the Dawgs shut out of the playoffs after losing to Alabama. It is though a key contributor to maintaining the level of talent and the connection from year to year which allows Georgia to sustain its high level of success and remain in contention over the long term.

They’ve got more rivals than almost anybody I know. They really do. Traditionally, we’ve only had Clemson because we haven’t beaten anybody enough to have any more rivals. Georgia, I’ve always said, is our biggest conference rival since they’re closest to us, I think, than any other school.
— Steve Spurrier

Saturday’s comeback win over South Carolina added to Georgia’s lopsided 55–19–2 advantage in the series. Since taking charge of the Georgia program, Kirby Smart’s Bulldogs are 7-1 against South Carolina with an average margin of victory of nearly 25 points. Shane Beamer’s program showed signs of life with two huge upsets in 2022, and the Gamecocks were competitive as huge underdogs in Athens this year. Unfortunately we won’t know for a while if Beamer will be able to bring competitive balance back to the series. With the eight-game SEC schedule stretched thin by the addition of Oklahoma and Texas, Georgia and South Carolina will no longer play every season. Each team will rotate on and off the other’s schedule as if they were Mississippi State or Kentucky.

Is it the end – or a pausing – of a rivalry?

Defining what makes a rivalry is a popular offseason parlor game. But for a year here and there Georgia and South Carolina have played regularly since the 1960s. Of course it’s become an annual meeting since the Gamecocks joined the SEC East in 1992, but the teams met 27 out of 30 years between 1960 and 1989. Georgia and Tennessee met only eight times during that span. The frequent games and the short distance between the schools might seem to make the Bulldogs and Gamecocks natural rivals. For those in the Augusta area, the Border Bash is an annual show of pride between the two local fan bases. As Steve Spurrier noted, though, there’s a pretty wide gulf between how fans of each school see this series. It’s not a question of disrespect. Georgia’s games with Auburn, Florida, and even Tennessee often had SEC implications. Georgia Tech was the in-state rival. By the time South Carolina traded independent status for SEC membership, Georgia’s list of rivals was extensive.

Even before the Gamecocks joined the SEC the series with Georgia had some twists and turns. Georgia forced a fumble from eventual Heisman winner George Rogers to hold on in 1980. The Gamecocks upset then-#12 Georgia in 1984 and went on to become the first team in school history to win 10 games. In 1986 Georgia’s James Jackson set the ball on the turf during a live play as the clock expired, and Georgia escaped with the win only because the rules at the time forbid advancing a recovered fumble.

There were some memorable games as the Gamecocks joined the SEC in the 90s. A Georgia loss in 1993 was a harbinger of a disappointing season, and the brash Steve Taneyhill became an instant villain in Athens. Georgia’s win in 1995 introduced Robert Edwards as the next great Georgia tailback. Still, Georgia won 6 of the 8 contests in the 1990s, and any rivalry just simmered as sights were set on more successful programs at Tennessee ad Florida.

The 1999 arrival of Lou Holtz in Columbia seemed like a novelty, but it ushered in an era of competitive, low-scoring, and dramatic games between the programs. Georgia won easily enough in 1999 and sent the Gamecocks on their way to an 0-11 season. The Gamecocks turned the tables in 2000. They intercepted Georgia five times en route to an upset of the #10 Bulldogs. The performance and loss shook the Georgia program to the core and started the ball rolling towards a coaching change at the end of the season. The Mark Richt era began with South Carolina’s first win in Athens since 1993, but the Dawgs then reeled off five straight wins – their longest winning streak in the series since the 1970s.

Those five wins didn’t come easily for Georgia. The 2002 win is remembered for the interception that immortalized David Pollack as a Georgia legend, but the Dawgs also needed a frenzied stop inside their own 10 to secure the win. 2004 was an even wilder game. The Gamecocks stormed out to a 16-0 lead, but David Greene threw two second half touchdown passes to put Georgia on top. The Dawgs had to stop South Carolina twice inside the red zone in the fourth quarter.

Holtz stepped aside after 2004, and the hiring of Steve Spurrier for 2005 took the series to another level of animosity. Georgia eked out a two-point win in 2005 with a fourth-quarter stop of a two-point conversion. The Dawgs handed Spurrier a rare shutout loss in 2006. The Evil Genius finally broke through against his foe with a 16-12 win in 2007. Georgia could only manage four field goals in the loss, and it ended up costing them the SEC East title and possibly a shot at the national title in the bizarre 2007 season.

As Spurrier took root in Columbia, the low-scoring grinds of the early 2000s began to give way to high-scoring shootouts. Between 2009 and 2015, the winning team in the series scored fewer than 35 points only once. It also became a golden age for Gamecock football. South Carolina had a 5-3 advantage over Georgia between 2007 and 2014 (including three straight from 2010-2012), and they won their lone SEC East title in 2010. The teams traded shootout wins in 2009 and 2011.

By 2012 both programs were rolling and undefeated for an early October clash. Williams-Brice Stadium was out of its mind for a night game between the #6 Gamecocks and #5 Bulldogs. South Carolina fed off the home crowd and roared to a 21-0 first quarter lead. The 35-7 rout was their largest margin of victory in the series. Georgia ended the Gamecock winning streak in 2013 with another high-scoring back-and-forth game in Athens. A deep pass to Justin Scott-Wesley provided the final margin, but it wasn’t over until the Bulldog defense got a stop on 4th-and-1 at the goal line. The Gamecocks returned the favor in 2014 with a red zone stop and an upset of #6 Georgia. A late interception returned to the South Carolina 3 set Georgia up to win the game, but a disastrous offensive series and missed field goal allowed South Carolina to hold on to the winning margin. Once again the loss cost Georgia a shot at the SEC East title.

Georgia’s lopsided 52-20 win in 2015 was one of the most enjoyable in the series for Bulldog fans. Greyson Lambert completed 24-of-25 passes in a career game that came out of nowhere. Georgia’s win wasn’t an upset, but the Gamecocks weren’t able to recover from the loss. They dropped two of their next three, and Steve Spurrier resigned in midseason. South Carolina dropped 7 of their last 8 to finish the Spurrier era with a 3-9 season.

Both programs entered 2016 with former Georgia defensive backs as head coach. Will Muschamp took over in Columbia, and Kirby Smart was tapped to lead the Bulldogs. Their first meeting in 2016 was rescheduled to a rare Sunday afternoon game due to a hurricane, and Georgia took advantage of a subdued crowd to win in Columbia for the first time since 2008. The lone South Carolina win came in 2019. The Gamecocks, 24.5-point underdogs, shocked #3 Georgia in overtime. The Bulldogs recovered to run the table in the regular season, but the loss was enough to remove Georgia from playoff consideration in 2019. South Carolina was unable to build on the win and notched just one more win in 2019. After a 2-8 season in 2020, Muschamp was dismissed and Beamer has been at the helm since 2021.

As the Dawgs took a knee Saturday, there wasn’t much sense or fanfare that whatever the Georgia-South Carolina series is will be different now. Kirby Smart definitely isn’t going to give two seconds thinking about anything but getting better for the next game. Not many Georgia fans will pine for the biennial trips to the furnace of Columbia to have Sandstorm blasted at them. Other games have and will almost always rate more important among Georgia fans. It’s always seemed a bit one-sided: Georgia has never won anything because it beat South Carolina, but more than a few times a loss to the Gamecocks came back to bite Georgia at the end of the year. But whatever it was, the Georgia-South Carolina game was often the kind of early season weirdness that gave the SEC some spice. I can’t say I’ll miss or even think about an annual game with South Carolina, but I might miss the conference it helped to shape.

We last left the Georgia football team celebrating a record-breaking victory over TCU for a second straight national title. It’s been an eventful offseason: it began with unthinkable tragedy which veered into scandal. There was celebration as another large group of Bulldogs headed for the NFL. There was transition and reunion as revered offensive coordinator Todd Monken left for the NFL and Mike Bobo began his second stint in the role. We’ve seen transfers out and transfers in. As we reset for another season and another title defense, this is what I’m thinking about.

1. Coming to terms with the offseason. In January the Bulldog program went from the highest of highs to the lowest of lows in the span of a few hours. A day that began with a second straight national championship fête ended with the tragic death of two members of the program. The incident opened the door to investigate everything from the program’s recruiting operation to its off-field behavior, and the fallout made its way in the NFL Draft. Each subsequent ticket or arrest added to the narrative (excessive or not) of a reckless culture.

Things have been relatively quiet as the players returned for preseason camp, and it might be tempting to view the upcoming season as an opportunity to move on. It’s not that simple. To begin with, there won’t be a #77 on the field each Saturday. The wider college football audience will be turning back to the sport for the first time since January, and we can expect studio shows and national broadcasts to mention the offseason in their coverage of the two-time champions. There are still people dealing with the human toll of the fatal crash, and the legal aftermath won’t be so tidy.

2. A different kind of title defense. A year ago Georgia, though the defending national champions, began the season ranked third. The title was a breakthrough moment that erased 40 years of frustration and established Georgia as an elite program, but they weren’t the odds-on favorite to repeat. It wasn’t necessarily a slight – few teams repeat, and Georgia’s historic 2022 draft results left a lot of personnel questions. The Dawgs were still a popular playoff pick and expected to be in the mix. It’s risible to think of the #3 team as having something to prove, but we all know how this works. Even if the uphill climb from #3 to #1 doesn’t do it for you, there were still some significant accomplishments that had eluded the 2021 team, chief among them an undefeated record and the SEC title.

The larger theme in the summer of 2022 wasn’t about repeating; it was Kirby Smart’s emphasis on continuity. “We didn’t build this program on hoping for one-year wonders,” he explained. “We built a program to be sustained.” I don’t mean to say that Georgia didn’t have a target on them last year; the whole “hunter vs. hunted” thing also came about in the summer of 2022. Though the repeat came into focus as the season unfolded the more immediate goal was proving that 2021 wasn’t a one-time flash in the pan. Georgia hadn’t even made the playoff in consecutive seasons and hadn’t won the SEC since 2017. There were new objectives on the way to a repeat.

Again Georgia opens the season as the defending national champion. The NFL Draft promoted another large group of contributors and leaders to the professional ranks. But a successful title defense seems to have done the trick as far as national perception. The Bulldogs begin 2023 in a different place than they did in 2022. They’re the consensus #1 team. They’re also defending an SEC championship and are expected to hold on to that crown. Now that we’ve seen a program replace 15 draft picks and still win a title, there’s a trust that this year’s questions can be similarly resolved.

We’ve seemed to jump right to the three-peat. Kirby Smart is right to be more concerned about complacency, and the “better never rests” motto of continuous improvement is consistent with the approach he’s used since 2016. But the three-peat has been front and center since SEC Media Days, and it seems to color every discussion about this year’s team. Yes, that might have something to do with the perception of this year’s schedule and the implication that Georgia will walk unchallenged into the postseason. Confidence is high, and so are expectations.

Right or wrong, the quest for the three-peat will hang over everything Georgia does this year. High expectations are nothing new at Georgia, but an attitude approaching title-or-bust isn’t the norm. Georgia has earned this status. I asked this time last year, “Are you able to smell the roses, or do you find the familiar nerves and worry creeping back in with the start of another season?” That still applies – I hope we’re all able to relish in this era of Georgia football. The “nerves and worry” though have transitioned from the old doom-and-gloom to a sense of foreboding that it might end. A title is always the team’s goal, but for us it shouldn’t become Gollum’s obsession with the ring. Remember – “We built a program to be sustained.”

3. What will Bobo 2.0 look like? It’s safe to say that the days of the I-formation and fullbacks are gone, but what else has changed? Bobo himself has been on quite a journey since 2014. He’s been a head coach and returned to the SEC for a couple of unsuccessful stints as offensive coordinator. He’s had to adapt to different levels of competition and talent. He’ll have more talent to work with than he’s had in nearly a decade, and while his earlier Georgia offenses had superstars like Gurley, Chubb, Stafford, and Green, Georgia is recruiting at a different level now and the overall level of talent available to Bobo might be as good as he’s had it. But with all of that talent comes extraordinary expectations. The 2019 offense that was good enough to get Georgia to 11-1 and to the SECCG was scrapped when it was exposed as noncompetitive against elite teams.

Personnel changes alone will affect how Bobo schemes the offense. Darnell Washington was an offensive tackle with receiver skills. He was an extra lineman blocking on running plays and a matchup nightmare on pass plays. Georgia has talented tight ends beyond Brock Bowers, but Washington’s skill set was unique and afforded Todd Monken the ability to run very different plays and looks without changing personnel. Stetson Bennett’s mobility became a factor that separated him from other quarterbacks and helped him maintain the starting job as he developed. Georgia didn’t call a ton of designed runs for Bennett, but he was able to extend plays and do enough damage running the ball that defenses had to respect the danger. Carson Beck might be able to scramble long enough to progress through his receivers, but we’re not likely to see the crazy (and sometimes terrifying) escapes. Georgia has a deeper group of receivers now, and the addition of a dangerous slot like Dominic Lovett means that we might see a more traditional passing offense than the 12 personnel that featured both Bowers and Washington. Georgia will always emphasize a physical running game, but a dinged-up group of tailbacks will require some creativity.

4. How will Georgia manage and develop its roster? Georgia’s starters were on the field quite a bit last season. Close games against Tennessee, Kentucky, and Missouri were 60-minute affairs. Florida’s second-half comeback kept the Dawgs from emptying the bench. Mississippi State was close at the half. Even the dominant win over Auburn was just 21-3 into the fourth quarter. The upside was that individuals like Stetson Bennett and Brock Bowers were on the field long enough to build the stats that propelled them to national recognition. The downside? Carson Beck saw action in 7 games – fewer than half of Georgia’s 2022 contests.

With the understanding that a schedule rarely turns out as expected, Georgia should be double-digit favorites in most of its regular season games. Ideally that would mean ample opportunity to get the reserves in, build experience, and manage the starters for what could be another long 15-game season. At the same time, Carson Beck needs reps with his offense. South Carolina could be an early test, but there’s no question that the difficulty picks up in October and November as Georgia gets into conference play and gets away from Sanford Stadium. There’s a lot to iron out: Beck of course, the health and rotation at tailback, roles for a fleet of young defensive backs, the pass rush, and more. First things first: Georgia has to play itself into a position to have these choices.

5. Around the team

• Should we worry about placekicking? Jack Podlesney wasn’t called on for many game-winners since the 2020 Peach Bowl, but we saw in December how big games can come down to special teams. Georgia’s options to replace Podlesney are Jared Zirkel, a redshirt junior who has waited in the wings for three years, and true freshman Peyton Woodring. The sum total of their experience is Zirkel connecting on a 21-yard field goal at South Carolina last year.
• Will depth at tailback lead to position changes? Yes, we know Bowers can run the ball, but he’s much more valuable and versatile doing so as a tight end. Word that receiver Dillon Bell is getting a look is interesting – he has decent speed (around 4.53/40) and had many more rushes than receptions in high school.
• Earnest Greene steps into some big shoes as a redshirt freshman. A new left tackle will be protecting a new quarterback. The rest of the starting offensive line is proven and experienced. Depth is a little more of a concern than it has been, and Georgia has been fortunate with injuries up front. A lot seems to be riding on Greene following in the footsteps of Broderick Jones and Andrew Thomas.
• If Georgia does have a slightly different look to its offense this year, Dominic Lovett could be the reason why. Darnell Washington’s size was a tough matchup for any pass defense, but a proven slot receiver like Lovett presents a different kind of matchup problem. Rosemy-Jacksaint, McConkey, and Lovett have years of experience and a wide range of skills between them, and then you’re able to bring in players like Arian Smith. Meanwhile Brock Bowers has to be accounted for. There’s a reason why people are excited about the Georgia passing game.
• With dominant interior defensive linemen like Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter, we’re used to seeing pressure come from the inside. Georgia’s returning defensive linemen are experienced and disruptive in their own right. Without a clear superstar among them, will we see Georgia’s edge players take on a larger role? Chaz Chambliss was thrown into the deep end after Nolan Smith’s injury and eventually held his own. Mykel Williams emerged as a future star late last season. Marvin Jones, Jr. and Jalon Walker likewise began to stand out. Of the Georgia players left off the preseason All-SEC teams, Williams might be a name you’re likely to see on the postseason lists.
• I was pleased to see Carson Beck do enough to earn the start early in camp and prevent any kind of nonsense drama lingering into the season.
• The order behind Beck is less clear; I expect we’ll see both backups early in the season and get a sense of how the coaches rate them. Again, you’re balancing the need to get Carson Beck the reps to win big games later in the year with the need to develop solid experience behind him given the nontrivial chance you’ll need that experience.
• What injuries are we keeping an eye on? Smael Mondon is an important piece in the middle of the defense, but Georgia is deep at linebacker and someone like Xavian Sorey could step in. Kamari Lassiter’s foot injury doesn’t seem to be a long-term problem but could keep him out for a few weeks. Lawson Luckie had a strong offseason, but it might be October before we see the freshman tight end. The availability of Kendall Milton and Andrew Paul at tailback could turn a thin position into a strength. Paul is returning from a serious knee injury, and Milton’s hamstrings seem to be a chronic problem. Will Ladd McConkey’s nagging back issues affect his availability at some point in the season?
• I’m glad Arian Smith is no longer among the injured. His explosiveness singlehandedly adds a whole other layer to Georgia’s passing attack.
• Kenny McIntosh quickly addressed my concern last year about replacing James Cook’s all-around skill. I should have known better given that Cook and McIntosh had similar receiving stats in 2021. That torch will have to be passed again, and the heir isn’t quite so obvious this year. Daijun Edwards lead returning tailbacks with 101 yards last season, but a healthy Paul could also get a look on passing plays.
• Three of four secondary positions seem locked in, but we should see a good mix of combinations in the defensive backfield. Daylen Everette and Julian Humphrey could battle it out to replace Kelee Ringo, but Nyland Green or true freshman AJ Harris will get a look if Lassiter is sidelined for a couple of games. Veteran Tykee Smith is strong enough at Star that Javon Bullard was able to move to safety, and true freshman Joenel Aguero could be the future at that position. Bullard and Malaki Starks give Georgia its best safety duo in some time – perhaps even better than LeCounte and Reed.

6. Miscellany. Will Georgia break any records this year? Yes, there’s the three-peat (check out Seth Emerson’s trek to Minnesota that explores that history.) There’s also a little history to be made at Sanford Stadium: winning all seven home games would establish the program’s longest home winning streak. Mike Bobo returns as offensive coordinator, and his last season heading up the Bulldog offense set the program’s record for points per game (41.3 PPG in 2014.) Will he be able to top that?

NFL rosters were whittled down to 53 players this week. It’s a point of pride just to have a lot of Georgia players drafted, but getting drafted is only the first step towards the goal of making the team. Every spot on a 53-man NFL roster is precious and scarce, and teams manage those spots ruthlessly. Surviving the NFL preseason meatgrinder and making the final 53-man squad can be one of the most challenging periods in the transition from college football to the NFL. Making a team is a test of talent, sure, but it’s also a trial of physical endurance and mental toughness. A whopping 50 former Bulldogs have made it through that process.

In total, there are 50 Bulldogs on active rosters to start the season. The team with the most Bulldogs is the Philadelphia Eagles, as six former Georgia players will suit up for the defending NFC champions. Twenty five of the 32 NFL franchises have at least one Bulldog on the team.

Half of those 50 have come out in the past two years. It was a cause for celebration to see a record 25 Bulldogs selected in the 2022 and 2023 drafts. It’s mind-blowing that 24 of those 25 are still on active rosters. (OL Justin Shaffer was cut by the Falcons this week.) We can add Kearis Jackson who made the Tennessee Titans as an undrafted free agent after an outstanding preseason.

Georgia isn’t just turning out draftable players. They’re producing NFL-ready talent.

Think that might get a mention or two on the recruiting trail?

To no one’s surprise, Georgia was the consensus (though not unanimous) preseason #1 team in the first AP poll. It’s deserved recognition for the two-time champs, but of course preseason polls are next to worthless once the games begin. Brett McMurphy reminds us that history isn’t necessarily on Georgia’s side.

Godspeed Georgia: 17 of last 19 AP preseason No. 1 ranked teams failed to win national title. Only Alabama in 2017 & USC in 2004 overcame the preseason No. 1 jinx. Georgia also trying to become 1st 3-peat champion since Minnesota (1934-36)

Expectations are sky-high for Georgia in 2023. The Bulldogs are #1 in all major polls, early odds have them as big favorites in nearly all regular season games, and they’re picked to repeat as SEC champions. We might sometimes forget how hard it is to keep a run like this going. Count Georgia’s perfect seasons. It won’t take long. It nearly ended twice last season, and Georgia’s escapes against Missouri and Ohio State might add to the sense of being bulletproof. Georgia was able to repeat after a record draft class in 2022, so the departure of another large draft class in 2023 shouldn’t be tough to overcome, right? Even if Georgia navigates its regular season without a blemish for the third straight year, the postseason brings you up against your peers: teams that recruit, spend, and train at similar levels.

Hopefully Georgia is able to join the short list of teams that went wire-to-wire as #1. To do so would be the program’s greatest accomplishment and cement this era in college football history. If not, how might it end? Georgia’s few losses and close games in recent years suggest a few scenarios:

1) The perfect storm. Georgia’s last home loss was a sleepy noon shocker in 2019 at the hands of South Carolina, a 20+ point underdog. Combine a disinterested Georgia team, a single big play, and four turnovers, including a pick-six right before halftime, with an uncharacteristic missed Blankenship field goal in overtime, and you got just enough to hand Georgia its lone regular season loss and kept the Bulldogs out of the playoff. Kirby Smart admittedly didn’t do a good job of “getting (their) ass ready to play.” Georgia might have been able to overcome that and snap out of it in time most days. Will Muschamp’s Gamecock defense was opportunistic enough and Georgia’s 2019 offense limited enough that South Carolina stretched it out to overtime and made the outcome a crapshoot.

Georgia will have a lot of games in 2023 in which they’re heavy favorites. A weak home schedule, especially in September, will feature several games in front of sub-capacity crowds sapped by the late-summer heat. Those fans, many of whom have decided the season comes down to the trip to Knoxville, will be disappointed if the team looks anything other than dominant in its home games. The team – with visions of a threepeat and basking in its #1 ranking – will have to find its own motivation each week, and, yes, South Carolina is among the home opponents again. Avoiding “that game” isn’t just a problem for the offense: Stephen Garcia made a career for himself in South Carolina’s 2010 upset of Alabama. We know that obvious fundamentals like turnovers and special teams can give even lopsided underdogs a chance. The challenge, as always, is seeing each week as an opportunity to improve and play to the program’s standard. It’s not always so easy.

2) Waning explosiveness. Georgia’s lack of explosiveness was a major theme in 2019. Without much of a deep threat and a razor-thin tight end position, defenses swarmed the line of scrimmage and made for a compact area of the field to attack. The constrained offense (along with the turnovers) played a role in the South Carolina upset but also left Georgia in a number of close games in which they had to lean on a very good defense. It’s hard to imagine an offense with Brock Bowers and Arian Smith – not to mention Dominic Lovett, Oscar Delp, or Ladd McConkey – having issues with explosiveness, but there’s someone else on the other end of those passes. The quarterback position remains unsettled heading deep into August though the depth chart looks solid. Georgia’s next quarterback will have to be as adept as Stetson Bennett at generating explosive plays, and Mike Bobo will have to be creative spreading the ball around to a dangerous group of receivers and tight ends. If the quarterback can’t get the ball downfield consistently, an offense with a banged-up group of tailbacks will find it difficult to move the ball.

Turnovers were a minor issue at Missouri in 2022 (-2) and didn’t help things, but we also saw problems with explosiveness that had begun to creep up in the Kent State game. With Missouri playing tight to the line of scrimmage and blitzing often, Georgia couldn’t get sustained success on the ground, and the screens and short passes that were an extension of the running game earlier in the season weren’t available. Stetson Bennett completed just 56% of his attempts at an unremarkable 7.25 yards per attempt. Georgia was held to their lowest SEC scoring output of the year until that frozen, windy game at Kentucky. Fortunately the defense never broke and the offense remained composed enough to find something that worked. Georgia had too much talent to completely slip back into its 2019 shell, but a lackluster night from the offense can be enough to keep even a mid-table opponent within a score or two.

3) Overwhelmed defense. Auburn and Oklahoma 2017. LSU 2019. Florida 2020. Alabama 2021. Ohio State 2022. Even the best Georgia defenses during the Kirby Smart era have found themselves in shootouts. Sometimes, as with Alabama in 2021, you get a second chance. Sometimes, as with Oklahoma or Ohio State, the offense can keep up. But those shootout wins have been the exception. Georgia has allowed 30 points or more in ten games since 2017. They’ve only won three of those games (Oklahoma 2017, LSU and Ohio State 2022.) In Georgia’s nine losses since 2017, they’ve given up at least 35 points in seven of those games.

Giving up 30 points doesn’t happen often – ten times in six seasons and usually in the postseason – but it does happen frequently enough and with enough regularity that the possibility has to be considered. It’s true that most of these high-scoring games have come at the hands of Heisman candidates and known explosive offenses. Georgia’s defense isn’t getting blindsided by Kentucky or Georgia Tech. It does suggest what we’ve come to accept as common knowledge: really good offenses are hard to stop by even the best defenses. That realization was the root of the crisis that spurred changes in Georgia’s own offense after 2019, and during their title run Georgia featured a high-performing offense of their own.

What does one of these offense look like? Ian Boyd put it like this (h/t Blutarsky): “…if you don’t have an elite space force or the tactics to beat a team with skill, and it just comes down to trench play, Georgia will whoop you.” It’s possible that Georgia won’t face an offense with those traits until the postseason. LSU and Alabama aren’t on the regular season schedule. We saw first-hand the breadth of Ohio State’s receiving talent, and USC has a special playmaker at quarterback in a proven system, but, again, those potential challenges are still hypothetical at this point.

Tennessee jumps out as the regular season opponent most likely to challenge Georgia’s defense. The Vols lost the quarterback and top receivers that led to their breakthrough season in 2022. They still return several productive receivers and add an important transfer in Dont’e Thornton. Kirby Smart has done well to keep the up-tempo Tennessee offense in check, but it doesn’t take much for them to get on a roll. Lane Kiffin and Hugh Freeze have been known for productive and explosive offenses in the past, but they might fall short of the level of skill that has given Georgia’s defense the most trouble.