Goal: 35 TD So far: 8 TD Projected*: 16 TD Comment: Not gonna happen. Even the Richt-era record of 24 set by Shockley in 2005 seems out of reach at this point. This isn’t a problem indicator; the SEC leaders only have 10 TD each, and the running game has been doing a great job of getting in the endzone. If Stafford can get to 20 TD on the season, I’ll be thrilled.
Goal: 3,700 – 4,000 yards passing So far: 1503 yards Projected*: 3000 yards Comment: It’s probably not going to happen without a huge increase in production. Stafford did just post his first career 300-yard game. Even if Stafford averages 300 YPG the rest of the way, he’ll be at 3,300 yards heading into the postseason. That would put him in a position to beat Greene’s Richt-era record of 3,307 yards. If Stafford can average 250 YPG in the remaining six games, the SEC Championship, and the bowl, he’ll be in a position to challenge Eric Zeier’s all-time Georgia mark of just over 3,500 yards.
Goal: 64% completion rate So far: 61.7% Projected*: 61.7% Comment: This goal is still very much within reach. Stafford has already improved his percentage over last season, and he just completed 69% of his passes against Tennessee. By completing just another couple of passes per game, he can get to 64%.
* – Projections are based on doubling the production so far. Yes, Georgia will likely face much better defenses the rest of the way. Production could also vary based on injuries and improvement. If my projections don’t suit you, fill in your own.
For the second game in a row, Georgia will face a backup quarterback making his first SEC start of the season. Bobby Johnson is switching up the quarterback position this week for Vanderbilt, but Mackenzi Adams has been around the block a few more times than Tennessee’s Nick Stephens.
Adams, a 6-foot-3 redshirt junior, played extensively in Georgia’s 20-17 win in Nashville last season, completing 7 of 10 passes for 125 yards and a touchdown and rushing for 46 yards on 14 carries.
You can see Adams at work in this highlight video of last year’s game. He didn’t start the game, but he was involved in both of Vandy’s second quarter touchdowns. He threw a block on the reverse for the first touchdown, and he threw that infamous touchdown pass that was tipped, juggled, and ruled a touchdown upon review in the back corner of the endzone.
Adams isn’t going to light anyone up for 300 yards, but he’s the kind of pesky, athletic, and tough playmaker who can frustrate a defense with his ability to get out of trouble. Vandy’s turned to him several times this season in relief of the starter, and now the starting job is his. It’s not Adams’ first start; he took over last season also when Chris Nickson was injured and started the final six games of the season. Adams in fact was the quarterback when Vandy went into Columbia and upset South Carolina. His passing numbers were only 8-of-16 for 123 yards, but he did throw for 2 TD, and he led the Commodores with 84 yards on just 13 carries. Adams also threw 3 TD in last season’s narrow loss to Tennessee.
Announcing coaching changes during the season is nothing new around these parts (Ron Zook, Ray Goff), but the high-profile and abrupt moves at Auburn and now Clemson makes one wonder if panic selling has creeped over from Wall Street to the college football world. Sylvester Croom is coming to Knoxville this weekend, you know.
Clemson fans might consider Bowden their Jim Donnan – Bowden was reasonably successful (72-45), went to bowl games, but never got the Tigers to an ACC or even divisional title. But making the change is a two-part process. Who can they get, and can the new guy do any better?
Current Clemson commitments, like five-star safety Craig Loston, are bailing. I can’t help thinking about Signing Day surprise Dwayne Allen who switched to Clemson from Georgia last February. The Dawgs sure could use the help at tight end, and the situation at Clemson can’t be what Allen bargained for. A.J. Harmon has to be feeling pretty good in Athens right now.
Meanwhile, Clemson (former) starting QB Cullen Harper uses the moment to take a parting shot.
OK, I sense it too. People are dragging. I admit that instead of wanting to get right back after it following the Alabama game, I was grateful for the bye week. The Arizona trip took a lot out of me personally, and it was even an adjustment for the players and coaches. Maybe we’re all still just shaking it off.
Anyway, it’s pretty clear that both the fans and team need something good to happen to snap them out of it. A win is what we’re after, but what’s really needed is that same energy and enthusiasm the fans and team had in Tempe. If you had to look to one guy to deliver that energizing bolt, I can’t think of anyone better than Knowshon Moreno. A highlight-reel run early in the game from the player who challenges physics with his perpetual energy would be the wake-up call we’ve been needing since late September.
If you want a stat to watch Saturday, Tennessee is last in the SEC in first
downs generated. They’re next-to-last in third down percentage. The Vols are
averaging fewer than 16 first downs per game. Alabama had five on their first
drive against Georgia alone. I’m not as big of a detractor when it comes to
the Georgia defensive coaches and scheme as others, but Georgia’s not likely
to see a better chance of putting up some three-and-outs. If the Vols show the
ability to drive and convert third downs early, Georgia’s in trouble.
I’m disappointed that Walter Hill had to be dismissed
from the football team, but another Georgia coach is probably thinking he
dodged a bullet. Hill was not only a football standout at East Hall; he was
also recruited for basketball and had to choose between the two sports. Richt’s
dismissal of Hill made the news of course, but imagine how many hand-wringing
columns we’d be subjected to if Hill were the latest player dismissed by Dennis
Felton.
The folks in Tuscaloosa are no doubt enjoying yesterday’s news from Auburn,
but I can’t help but think back to Gameday at Alabama last September and all
of the signs making light of Auburn’s slow start. Wouldn’t it be hilarious if
after all this Auburn managed to extend the streak for one more year?
I’ll be disappointed in the Georgia student section if there’s not at least
one pterodactyl reference on Saturday. Maybe the guys who paint themselves can
spell out Veeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeek along the front row.
Knowshon Moreno was held to 30 yards in Knoxville last year, and he put up
just 34 against Alabama two weeks ago. Quick starts by opponents in both of
those games did the job of taking Georgia’s running game out of the picture.
Nothing would make me happier Saturday than an opening drive by Georgia similar
to what we saw in Jacksonville last year.
There are several challenges on defense this week. The loss of Ellerbe is high
on the list. I’d also like to see a good game from Rashad Jones. Eric Berry
is the star in the UT secondary, but Jones was just as big of a prospect. He’s
shown us glimpes of great athleticism at times, but he’s nowhere near the consistent
menace that Georgia needs patrolling the middle of the field. An inexperienced
sophomore QB making his first road start should be like blood in the water to
the Georgia secondary, but it’ll take better safety play to take advantage of
the opportunity.
What happened to the Tennessee offensive line? This was supposed to be one
of the more veteran lines in the SEC, and it should be one of the bigger advantages
for UT on Saturday. The results so far though haven’t been all that good, and
they’ve given up just one fewer sack than Georgia’s young patchwork line. They’ve
been unable to get the running game going. Maybe I’m still stung from seeing
Foster and Hardesty drag Georgia defenders around last year to the tune of 190
rushing yards, but I’m still concerned about this matchup whether or not Rod
Battle is able to go for Georgia.
The great Tony Franklin experiment (his Troy team put up some yards on Georgia, you know) is over at Auburn. We get little information about how Auburn’s offense will change other than “(Coach Tommy) Tuberville plans to take a more active role in the Tigers’ offense the rest of the way.” It has to comfort Auburn fans that a head coach known for his defensive expertise will be the one with a bigger role in the offense after chasing off accomplished coordinators like Borges and Franklin.
If I were Arkansas, I’d watch Bobby Petrino’s movements very closely this weekend when the Razorbacks visit Auburn.
First, go
read this post by David Hale. It’s one man’s opinion, but he’s at practice,
speaks with the players and coaches, and his take seems reasonable even if it
raises some unpleasant questions.
This is the part that stood out to me:
I think this speaks to a real issue for the Bulldogs. Mark Richt has often
said that if a team is coach-driven, it is destined to fail. If it’s player-driven,
you have a much better shot at winning. It sounds like Georgia has been pretty
coach-driven so far this year.
It’s something that I’ve been wondering about since the Alabama game. At some
point during the 31-point meltdown in the first half, you’d hope or expect someone
on the sideline would start lighting a fire under his teammates. Those with
better seats than mine have said it didn’t happen, and Hale’s cautious observation
that "there just aren’t a lot of loud voices coming from the players"
doesn’t do much to convince me otherwise.
Leadership is more than ranting and raving of course; he who screams loudest
and throws the most chairs isn’t necessarily your best leader. Leadership-by-example
is nice too, but it’s overrated. You can play your tail off and still be a Class
A jerk whom no one wants to follow.
"Coach, you are the key. You have got to keep it going."
It’s a
quote from an anonymous player during halftime of last season’s Florida
game. Mark Richt "was whipped" – exhausted – after an emotional first
half, but the players were feeding on his energy and needed him to sustain it
as long as he could if they were going to finish the job.
Mark Richt’s conscious transformation last season was one of the highlights
of Georgia’s 2007 campaign. It was refreshing, entertaining, and – most of all
– necessary. It grew from a reaction to the lack of energy and enthusiasm he
sensed during the ugly loss at Tennessee. The players loved it, the fans loved
it, and Georgia ripped off seven straight wins to end the season.
But here we are now on the eve of another game with Tennessee, and the leadership
question has reared its head again. While no one has grounds to complain about
the results after Richt stepped into the leadership void last season, I have
to ask whether the players are still stuck waiting for Richt to be the one who
does something.
Rennie Curran spoke in
depth about accountability and how players have been slow to claim the leadership
roles that should belong to them. "Somebody will make a penalty or somebody
won’t make a play, and it’s kind of like we just let it slide by,
nobody will say anything," Curran said. The good news is that Curran claims
that the team has improved in this area over the bye week. Still, is it something
that we can expect to get fixed in two weeks? A team’s chemistry and leadership
– especially among the players – is forged year-round, and it’s just as important
in July as it is in October.
There will be some who take the comments of Curran and others and conclude
that Georgia is adrift, not watching film at all, and completely unprepared
to play. Let’s not go down that road – this is a very good team, they’ve already
won some quality games, and they have a very solid staff who knew to push these
buttons over the bye week. Curran and Lomax are among those who have recognized
a problem, and at least they’re attacking it now while the season’s goals are
still very much within reach.
pwd has good thoughts up about the uncertainty surrounding the Vandy kickoff time. At this point, it seems to be between ESPN at 8:00 p.m. and Raycom at 12:30 p.m..
The decision is ESPN’s, but that doesn’t mean UGA won’t have input. As Paul notes, pressure to select UGA for the earlier kickoff will come from several directions. Any other game and I might give the 8:00 kickoff a shot even with the administration’s distaste for night games, but with Homecoming in the balance I don’t see it.
Basically, you don’t ask these people to be at a game that ends after 11:30 p.m. That’s not a shot – a late night is a real consideration for many fans, and Homecoming is the one game where those considerations weigh more than they usually do. There are pregame and postgame events scheduled (and prepaid) that involve everyone from individual fans to Greeks to entire schools of the University.
It’s going to be a big game, and the need for a great home crowd can’t be understated. Unfortunately that’s not exactly the hallmark of a typical Homecoming crowd. The question is to what extent the administration will allow that typically casual Homecoming day to be altered to serve the team’s need for a crowd that’s involved in the game. Let’s just say that I’ll be pleasantly shocked if that happens.
Central Michigan (3-2): CMU had a heartbreaking loss to Purdue that many of
us watched in Tempe, but the Chippewas have won a pair of MAC games by the skin
of their teeth to remain undefeated in conference. They return from a bye week
to host an improved Temple. THIS WEEK: Temple
South Carolina (4-2): After some ugly home wins against Wofford and UAB, quarterback
Chris Smelley stepped up and led the Gamecocks to a nice 31-24 road win at Ole
Miss. That improved passing attack will get a big test this week in Lexington
as they’ll face a Kentucky defense that was effective against Alabama. THIS
WEEK: @ Kentucky
Arizona State (2-3): A blocked field goal against UNLV started ASU on a three-game
losing streak, and now Rudy
Carpenter is injured and questionable. The good news? There is none. This
weekend’s trip to USC was billed preseason as a possible Pac-10 title game between
last season’s co-champions, but the Trojans are now 25-point favorites. A likely
loss at Southern Cal will have the Sun Devils at 2-4, 1-2 in the Pac-10, and
playing out the rest of the season hoping for a bowl of some significance. THIS
WEEK: @ Southern Cal
Alabama (6-0): And after the sixth win, they rested. Bama got a small scare
from Kentucky last week, but the game wasn’t that close. Alabama’s defense was
as good as it’s been all year, and they THIS WEEK: BYE
Tennessee (2-3): Jonathan Crompton has
given way to Nick Stephens, and the sophomore will make his first road start
at Georgia. THIS WEEK: @ Georgia
Vanderbilt (5-0): The fact that Vandy is a significant road favorite for an
SEC game this week pretty much says it all. They’re winning ugly, but they’re
winning, and every week we get another one of these "first 3-0 SEC start
since the Reformation" milestones. Mississippi State has had a rough go
of it so far, but they did put up a respectable result against LSU. Will they
make the mistakes on which Vandy has feasted in the rest of their conference
wins? Just wrap your head around an SEC road game being called a possible "trap"
game for the Commodores. Will they have to go to the second-string QB for the
third straight game? THIS WEEK: @ Mississippi State
LSU (4-0): Maybe it was the weather screwing around with their September schedule,
but considering that they’re the defending national champion and in the Top
5, isn’t it odd how under the radar LSU seems at this point in the season? Most
Georgia fans have seen relatively little of LSU. Their one high-profile game
– a thrilling win at Auburn – coincided with our game at Arizona State. Charles
Scott has been a consistent rock in the backfield as the new quarterback comes
along, and of course the defense is pulling its weight. No more hiding this
week; yet another SEC game with national implications takes place in Gainesville.
THIS WEEK: @ Florida
Florida (4-1): The Gators once again turned to the model established in the
Miami game: get out to a small lead, hold off a lesser opponent with good defense,
and pour it on late. They had few problems with Arkansas and are feeling
pretty darn good about themselves at the moment. If there was one area of
concern, Michael Smith had a nice 133-yard game for Arkansas and was able to
find room up the middle several times. The Gators are getting some bodies back
to help shore up the interior, but their run defense will get a bigger test
against LSU. With a bye week looming, Meyer can afford to pull out all the stops
for a very big game. THIS WEEK: LSU
Kentucky (4-1): The Wildcats put up a good showing at Alabama, but the Wildcats
continue to have big questions on offense. Two of the best defenses in the SEC
go at it this weekend in Lexington, and Kentucky just doesn’t have the firepower
to respond if they find themselves down again. You just don’t see a lot of points
being scored in this game, but South Carolina’s improvement in the passing game
has to worry UK fans in search of the team’s first SEC win. THIS WEEK: South
Carolina
Auburn (4-2): Big problems on the Plains. Auburn’s offense can’t get out of
first gear, and the defense can only do so much. It looked as if Ben Tate was
more than enough to beat Vandy, but he was a non-factor down the stretch. Clearly
folks aren’t happy with the Tony Franklin experiment, and things aren’t much
more clear than they were last week when everyone declared the spread era over
at Auburn. The good news is that most any team can get a feel-good win against
Arkansas. I wonder if many Auburn fans will look across the sideline and wonder
what life would have been like had the Petrino deal worked out in 2003. Things
are shaky at Auburn but not Arkansas bad. THIS WEEK: Arkansas
Georgia Tech (4-1): Tech continues to put up winning results against some pretty
plain competition. Last week the defense held off Duke long enough to get the
offense going, and a 3-0 game in the third quarter turned into a 27-0 final.
THIS WEEK: Gardner-Webb. Seriously.
Overall it looks like a good Saturday for the Georgia fan to get some work
done around the yard. The college schedule has some decent offerings to pass
the time, but there are no must-see games this week. As always, the complete
TV listings for the day are over on nationalchamps.net.
Noon: Duke @ Georgia Tech, ESPN-U. Yeah, I know. Can you believe one of
these teams will be 4-1?
12:30: Florida @ Arkansas, JP. Meh. Should be over quickly. If it is, check
out Penn State over on ESPN until the 3:30 game.
3:30: Kentucky @ Alabama, CBS. Kentucky can play some defense this year,
and can Alabama keep it up?
3:30: FSU @ Miami, ABC.
6:00: Auburn @ Vanderbilt, ESPN. This game will get the hype, but I can’t
promise much excitement. Look for lots of defense with plenty of ugly and
a few big plays turning the game.
8:00: Ohio State @ Wisconsin, ABC. Unfortunately, most of Georgia won’t
get the more interesting game – Oregon @ Southern Cal. Put the Big 10 game
on if you have trouble falling asleep.
9:00: Missouri @ Nebraska, ESPN. If you haven’t seen Chase Daniels in action
yet this year, watch some of this game. The Huskers should be up for this
one, and it will be an interesting test for the Heisman front-runner.
The South Carolina @ Ole Miss (2:00) and Northern Illinois @ Tennessee (7:00)
games are PPV. South Carolina seems to be part of ESPN’s GamePlan this weekend
while the Vols are not.
It’s bad enough when your team gets it handed to them at home. It’s even worse when that loss possibly cost you a chance to be better in the future.
California prep quarterback Josh Nunes withdrew his commitment from Tennessee after witnessing the home crowd turn on the Vols during their lopsided loss to Florida a few weeks ago. Nunes has now committed to Stanford. He maintains that the crowd reaction wasn’t part of his decision, but Andy Staples’s column sheds a little more light there.
But what shocked me more was the dialogue that was occurring between the Georgia announcers. They were talking about the standing ovations that the Georgia fans were giving the team as they went into and came out of the halftime locker room. According to one announcer, he had never been so proud of the Georgia fans in all his years of broadcasting Bulldogs games.
I admit that I was waiting to hear a chorus of boos as the halftime whistle sounded. To be sure, there was some booing. But the overall positive reaction of the crowd in Athens was noticed not only by pundits and fans of other schools but also by some very important prospects that were in town.
“Even when Georgia got down, they stayed with them,” said Florida athlete Denard Robinson.
“The fans were great the whole time,” said defensive end Neiron Ball. “They stayed around, they kept supporting their team, and I really liked that.”
Georgia’s own high-profile quarterback commitment, Aaron Murray, was on campus along with teammate and tight end prospect Orson Charles. Their experience was also positive.
Look, I’m not going to pretend that Georgia fans are that far away from Tennessee fans. Maybe we were too stunned to boo. We’ve certainly seen our share of ugly behavior at Sanford Stadium, and many of us can recall that the reaction at the 1999 Auburn game (after a very similar first half) probably cost us any chance with Jason Campbell.
For one night though, Georgia fans did their part to keep the damage to the program limited to the field on Saturday night. I was as amazed as anyone at how the fans stayed in the game. When Prince Miller scored, you’d have thought that Georgia had tied it up. It’s unfortunate that the defense couldn’t get a stop after that punt return; instead, Alabama ate up the first five minutes of the 4th quarter and kicked a field goal that put the game away.
Let’s not make a habit of it, though. I don’t know that the Dawgs want to see how far they can push the goodwill of the fans, and another 31-point half most likely wouldn’t get the same response.
Earlier this year we noted that Alabama and outgoing Duke AD Joe Alleva were working to move Alabama’s 2010 game against Duke to the Georgia Dome. That was then.
New Duke athletic director Kevin White is making it clear that the game will be played at Duke’s Wallace Wade Stadium. “The 2010 Duke-Alabama game is our home game,” White said.
Interestingly, White was on the other side of this issue just months ago while he was still the athletic director at Notre Dame. A proposed series between Notre Dame and Rutgers fell through because Rutgers would not agree to move their home game off-campus.
Are the Blue Devils leaving money on the table? Almost certainly. Wallace Wade seats 33,941, less than half of the Georgia Dome’s capacity. If Duke is wise about this, they’ll make Alabama tickets only available as part of the season ticket package and hopefully make up some of the difference. There’s also a missed opportunity for recruiting; there are already four players from Georgia committed to Duke for the 2009 signing class.
Duke officials feel that the attention due to a major program coming to town will more than make up for the lost revenue and exposure in Georgia. “Wallace Wade hasn’t hosted a game of that magnitude in a very long time,” (Duke assistant AD Gerald) Harrison said. “I think the SEC game will do wonders for us.”
Alabama will be the first SEC team other than Vanderbilt to visit Duke since Tennessee in 1956.
A third of the way into the 2008 season, no fewer than five SEC teams considered to be at least marginal contenders for the conference title are facing big questions
about their offenses.
Whatever offense Auburn runs, don’t
call it the spread. "We don’t run Tony Franklin’s spread offense,"
coach Tommy Tuberville acknowledged. "You can’t put a square peg in a round
hole." Auburn has a quarterback controversy, the spread took a back seat
during the Tennessee game, and offensive coordinator Tony Franklin is feeling
the heat.
Meanwhile, Tennessee will use this weekend’s game against Northern Illinois
to experiment
with the quarterback position. Starter Jonathan Crompton hasn’t been playing
as well as he practices, and backup Nick Stephens "likely will see playing
time" against NIU. Crompton has taken criticism for poor decisions and
turnovers, and coordinator Dave Clawson doesn’t exactly give a ringing endorsement.
"It’s not like we’re in a rhythm now so it’s not like you’re disrupting
something that’s going really well."
Steve Spurrier and staff are "coaching just as hard as we did, you know,
10 years ago, eight years ago," but the
struggles of the Gamecock offense relative to a stellar defensive performance
to date are raising frustration levels. South Carolina has used three quarterbacks
this year, and the starter for Saturday’s trip to Oxford probably won’t be named
until Thursday. Spurrier laid into his offense after they failed to light up
the scoreboard against a bad UAB team. "I told our guys I don’t see
how some of you guys look in the mirror sometimes after the performance you
played.," he said. "The effort level and the way they played is sad."
Things aren’t rosy at Georgia either. Injuries
are taking their toll especially at tight end where former starting left
tackle Kiante Tripp is getting work. Injuries to starter Tripp Chandler and
reserve Bruce Figgins have forced the Dawgs to play redshirt freshman Aron White
and move Tripp from the offensive line, his second position move in a year.
The situation is serious enough that it might even require the Georgia coaches
to evaluate
the role of the tight end in the offense. In addition to the crisis at tight
end, Knowshon Moreno is banged up, receiver Tony Wilson – Georgia’s best blocker
on the perimeter – is out for the year, and Kris Durham will miss a few games.
At least Brannan Southerland is back.
Even Florida isn’t immune from questions about their offense. Injuries on the
offensive line, turnovers, and a critical fourth down failure have resulted
in no
shortage of suggestions on how to get the Florida offense back to its gaudy
greatness. A running game that doesn’t center around Tim Tebow still hasn’t
emerged. Let’s
bow our heads…
LSU might argue, but is the conference’s best offense currently in Tuscaloosa?
It sure looked like it.
Tony
Barnhart beat the "every week is a playoff" drum yesterday and
echoed some very familiar themes. But his rundown of the remaining schedule
results in the damnedest "playoff" I’ve ever seen.
On one hand is Georgia:
vs. No. 19 Vanderbilt, Oct. 18; at No. 3 LSU, Oct. 25; vs. No. 12 Florida
Nov. 1 in Jacksonville; at No. 13 Auburn, Nov. 15.; vs. No. 2 Alabama, No.
3 LSU or No. 13 Auburn in SEC championship game.
On the other hand is BYU:
at No. 15 Utah, Nov. 22.
How do I get me some of that seeding for this playoff?
Barnhart (and others) do the regular season a disservice by trying to conceptualize
the season as a playoff. The regular season is many things, but a playoff isn’t
one of them. Georgia and Florida and Southern Cal might be eliminated after
one loss, or they might not be, and it all could depend on the fortunes of Oklahoma
and Penn State – two teams who won’t even play each other. Someone
want to draw up that bracket?
With so many of the top teams playing each other, it sounds a lot closer to
a relegation
league.